Indonesian Championship

PSPS Pekanbaru vs Persiraja Banda Aceh prediction

15:30, 19/09

Result not verified

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.

Result not verified

PSPS Pekanbaru

49%

Draw

28%

Persiraja Banda Aceh

23%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours PSPS Pekanbaru, negative favours Persiraja Banda Aceh) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (PSPS Pekanbaru - Persiraja Banda Aceh)+0.56

Expected total goals2.59

Expected goals PSPS Pekanbaru / Persiraja Banda Aceh1.57 / 1.01

Both teams to score (yes / no)52.1% / 47.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 74.6%

Over 2.5 goals 47.9%

Over 3.5 goals 26.2%

First half

First-half result (PSPS Pekanbaru / draw / Persiraja Banda Aceh)35.7% / 44.7% / 19.6%

A goal in the first half67.5%

Two or more in the first half33.8%

Half-time then full-time

PSPS Pekanbaru lead at half-time then PSPS Pekanbaru win30.1%

Level at half-time then draw18.0%

Level at half-time then PSPS Pekanbaru win17.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from PSPS Pekanbaru's side

PSPS Pekanbaru −2.018.5%

PSPS Pekanbaru −1.7522.4%

PSPS Pekanbaru −1.526.2%

PSPS Pekanbaru −1.2531.9%

PSPS Pekanbaru −1.037.5%

PSPS Pekanbaru −0.7543.2%

PSPS Pekanbaru −0.548.8%

PSPS Pekanbaru −0.2555.9%

PSPS Pekanbaru draw no bet (0.0)63.0%

PSPS Pekanbaru +0.2570.1%

PSPS Pekanbaru +0.577.1%

PSPS Pekanbaru +0.7580.6%

PSPS Pekanbaru +1.084.1%

PSPS Pekanbaru +1.591.1%

PSPS Pekanbaru +2.094.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

PSPS Pekanbaru win2.05

Draw3.53

Persiraja Banda Aceh win4.37

Over 2.52.09

Under 2.51.92

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

PSPS Pekanbaru wins by more than 1 goals26%

Persiraja Banda Aceh wins by more than 1 goals9%

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match