Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Rangers
74%
Draw
16%
St Mirren
10%
Actual result: Rangers 1 – 0 St Mirren · Rangers winJarvis gave this outcome: 74% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Rangers, negative favours St Mirren) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Rangers - St Mirren)+1.66
Expected total goals3.30
Expected goals Rangers / St Mirren2.48 / 0.82
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.5% / 48.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 84.2%
Over 2.5 goals 64.1%
Over 3.5 goals 42.0%
First half
First-half result (Rangers / draw / St Mirren)54.7% / 33.1% / 12.2%
A goal in the first half77.3%
Two or more in the first half43.8%
Half-time then full-time
Rangers lead at half-time then Rangers win50.5%
Level at half-time then Rangers win19.8%
Level at half-time then draw9.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Rangers's side
Rangers −2.040.8%
Rangers −1.7546.1%
Rangers −1.551.4%
Rangers −1.2556.9%
Rangers −1.062.4%
Rangers −0.7568.0%
Rangers −0.573.5%
Rangers −0.2577.5%
Rangers draw no bet (0.0)81.6%
Rangers +0.2585.6%
Rangers +0.589.7%
Rangers +0.7591.5%
Rangers +1.093.3%
Rangers +1.597.0%
Rangers +2.098.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Rangers win1.36
Draw6.20
St Mirren win9.66
Over 2.51.56
Under 2.52.79
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Rangers wins by more than 1 goals51%
St Mirren wins by more than 1 goals3%
Corners
Expected total corners10.8
6.5+ corners in the match52%
Cards
Expected total cards3.1
2.5+ cards in the match60%