Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Remo
13%
Draw
22%
Flamengo
65%
Actual result: Remo 0 – 1 Flamengo · Flamengo winJarvis gave this outcome: 65% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Remo, negative favours Flamengo) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Remo - Flamengo)-1.20
Expected total goals2.75
Expected goals Remo / Flamengo0.78 / 1.98
Both teams to score (yes / no)47.3% / 52.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 76.9%
Over 2.5 goals 51.9%
Over 3.5 goals 29.8%
First half
First-half result (Remo / draw / Flamengo)13.2% / 40.3% / 46.6%
A goal in the first half70.2%
Two or more in the first half35.9%
Half-time then full-time
Flamengo lead at half-time then Flamengo win42.3%
Level at half-time then Flamengo win20.6%
Level at half-time then draw14.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Remo's side
Remo −2.02.4%
Remo −1.753.2%
Remo −1.54.0%
Remo −1.256.2%
Remo −1.08.5%
Remo −0.7510.7%
Remo −0.512.9%
Remo −0.2518.5%
Remo draw no bet (0.0)24.1%
Remo +0.2529.7%
Remo +0.535.3%
Remo +0.7541.3%
Remo +1.047.4%
Remo +1.559.5%
Remo +2.069.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Remo win7.73
Draw4.48
Flamengo win1.54
Over 2.51.93
Under 2.52.08
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Remo wins by more than 1 goals4%
Flamengo wins by more than 1 goals41%