Match summary
Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad (Norwegian Eliteserien), 28/07/2026, finished 4-0: Rosenborg won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Rosenborg
63%
Draw
21%
Fredrikstad
15%
Actual result: Rosenborg 4 – 0 Fredrikstad · Rosenborg winJarvis gave this outcome: 63% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Rosenborg, negative favours Fredrikstad) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Rosenborg - Fredrikstad)+1.14
Expected total goals2.97
Expected goals Rosenborg / Fredrikstad2.05 / 0.91
Both teams to score (yes / no)52.6% / 47.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.0%
Over 2.5 goals 56.9%
Over 3.5 goals 34.5%
First half
First-half result (Rosenborg / draw / Fredrikstad)46.4% / 38.2% / 15.4%
A goal in the first half73.2%
Two or more in the first half39.0%
Half-time then full-time
Rosenborg lead at half-time then Rosenborg win41.4%
Level at half-time then Rosenborg win19.4%
Level at half-time then draw12.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Rosenborg's side
Rosenborg −2.030.0%
Rosenborg −1.7534.9%
Rosenborg −1.539.7%
Rosenborg −1.2545.6%
Rosenborg −1.051.6%
Rosenborg −0.7557.5%
Rosenborg −0.563.4%
Rosenborg −0.2568.7%
Rosenborg draw no bet (0.0)74.0%
Rosenborg +0.2579.3%
Rosenborg +0.584.7%
Rosenborg +0.7587.2%
Rosenborg +1.089.8%
Rosenborg +1.594.9%
Rosenborg +2.096.8%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Rosenborg win1.58
Draw4.70
Fredrikstad win6.52
Over 2.51.76
Under 2.52.32
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Rosenborg wins by more than 1 goals40%
Fredrikstad wins by more than 1 goals5%