Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
RZ Pellets WAC
13%
Lask Linz
69%
Actual result: RZ Pellets WAC 1 – 3 Lask Linz · Lask Linz winJarvis gave this outcome: 69% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours RZ Pellets WAC, negative favours Lask Linz) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (RZ Pellets WAC - Lask Linz)-1.45
Expected total goals3.51
Expected goals RZ Pellets WAC / Lask Linz1.03 / 2.48
Both teams to score (yes / no)59.4% / 40.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 86.9%
Over 2.5 goals 68.1%
Over 3.5 goals 46.6%
First half
First-half result (RZ Pellets WAC / draw / Lask Linz)14.8% / 33.8% / 51.4%
A goal in the first half78.8%
Two or more in the first half47.4%
Half-time then full-time
Lask Linz lead at half-time then Lask Linz win46.5%
Level at half-time then Lask Linz win18.9%
Level at half-time then draw9.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from RZ Pellets WAC's side
RZ Pellets WAC −2.03.0%
RZ Pellets WAC −1.753.9%
RZ Pellets WAC −1.54.7%
RZ Pellets WAC −1.256.9%
RZ Pellets WAC −1.09.1%
RZ Pellets WAC −0.7511.3%
RZ Pellets WAC −0.513.5%
RZ Pellets WAC −0.2517.9%
RZ Pellets WAC draw no bet (0.0)22.4%
RZ Pellets WAC +0.2526.9%
RZ Pellets WAC +0.531.4%
RZ Pellets WAC +0.7536.8%
RZ Pellets WAC +1.042.2%
RZ Pellets WAC +1.552.9%
RZ Pellets WAC +2.062.9%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
RZ Pellets WAC win7.43
Draw5.57
Lask Linz win1.46
Over 2.51.47
Under 2.53.13
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
RZ Pellets WAC wins by more than 1 goals5%
Lask Linz wins by more than 1 goals47%
