Portuguese U23

Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense SC U23 prediction

18:00, 22/09

Result not verified

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.

Result not verified

Santa Clara U23

63%

Draw

21%

Portimonense SC U23

17%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Santa Clara U23, negative favours Portimonense SC U23) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Santa Clara U23 - Portimonense SC U23)+1.14

Expected total goals3.24

Expected goals Santa Clara U23 / Portimonense SC U232.19 / 1.05

Both teams to score (yes / no)58.2% / 41.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 83.9%

Over 2.5 goals 62.9%

Over 3.5 goals 40.7%

First half

First-half result (Santa Clara U23 / draw / Portimonense SC U23)46.7% / 36.5% / 16.8%

A goal in the first half76.2%

Two or more in the first half43.4%

Half-time then full-time

Santa Clara U23 lead at half-time then Santa Clara U23 win41.3%

Level at half-time then Santa Clara U23 win18.6%

Level at half-time then draw11.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Santa Clara U23's side

Santa Clara U23 −2.030.7%

Santa Clara U23 −1.7535.5%

Santa Clara U23 −1.540.2%

Santa Clara U23 −1.2545.8%

Santa Clara U23 −1.051.5%

Santa Clara U23 −0.7557.1%

Santa Clara U23 −0.562.8%

Santa Clara U23 −0.2567.9%

Santa Clara U23 draw no bet (0.0)73.1%

Santa Clara U23 +0.2578.2%

Santa Clara U23 +0.583.3%

Santa Clara U23 +0.7586.0%

Santa Clara U23 +1.088.6%

Santa Clara U23 +1.593.9%

Santa Clara U23 +2.096.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Santa Clara U23 win1.59

Draw4.87

Portimonense SC U23 win6.00

Over 2.51.59

Under 2.52.69

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Santa Clara U23 wins by more than 1 goals40%

Portimonense SC U23 wins by more than 1 goals6%

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match