Norwegian Eliteserien

Sarpsborg vs Viking prediction

1 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Sarpsborg vs Viking (Norwegian Eliteserien), 13/07/2026, finished 1-0: Sarpsborg won. Before the match Jarvis gave Sarpsborg 19%, the draw 21% and Viking 60%; the actual result had a 19% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.6.

Next for Viking: Aston Villa (Thu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Sarpsborg

19%

Draw

21%

Viking

60%

Actual result: Sarpsborg 1 – 0 Viking · Sarpsborg winJarvis gave this outcome: 19%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Sarpsborg, negative favours Viking) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Sarpsborg - Viking)-1.06

Expected total goals3.56

Expected goals Sarpsborg / Viking1.25 / 2.31

Both teams to score (yes / no)65.1% / 34.9%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 87.9%

Over 2.5 goals 69.0%

Over 3.5 goals 47.6%

First half

First-half result (Sarpsborg / draw / Viking)18.5% / 36.2% / 45.4%

A goal in the first half78.6%

Two or more in the first half48.8%

Half-time then full-time

Viking lead at half-time then Viking win39.6%

Level at half-time then Viking win17.8%

Level at half-time then draw11.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Sarpsborg's side

Sarpsborg −2.05.1%

Sarpsborg −1.756.4%

Sarpsborg −1.57.8%

Sarpsborg −1.2510.5%

Sarpsborg −1.013.3%

Sarpsborg −0.7516.0%

Sarpsborg −0.518.8%

Sarpsborg −0.2524.0%

Sarpsborg draw no bet (0.0)29.3%

Sarpsborg +0.2534.5%

Sarpsborg +0.539.7%

Sarpsborg +0.7545.0%

Sarpsborg +1.050.3%

Sarpsborg +1.560.8%

Sarpsborg +2.069.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Sarpsborg win5.32

Draw4.77

Viking win1.66

Over 2.51.45

Under 2.53.22

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Sarpsborg wins by more than 1 goals8%

Viking wins by more than 1 goals39%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Viking

vs Aston Villa (away)Thu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
vs Sabah FKThu 05/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27