Irish Premier Division
Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda prediction
02:00, 09/10
Result not verifiedOutcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Shamrock Rovers
72%
Draw
18%
Drogheda
10%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Shamrock Rovers, negative favours Drogheda) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Shamrock Rovers - Drogheda)+1.52
Expected total goals2.98
Expected goals Shamrock Rovers / Drogheda2.25 / 0.73
Both teams to score (yes / no)46.5% / 53.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.0%
Over 2.5 goals 57.2%
Over 3.5 goals 34.8%
First half
First-half result (Shamrock Rovers / draw / Drogheda)52.3% / 36.1% / 11.6%
A goal in the first half73.6%
Two or more in the first half39.0%
Half-time then full-time
Shamrock Rovers lead at half-time then Shamrock Rovers win48.3%
Level at half-time then Shamrock Rovers win20.7%
Level at half-time then draw11.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Shamrock Rovers's side
Shamrock Rovers −2.037.4%
Shamrock Rovers −1.7542.7%
Shamrock Rovers −1.548.1%
Shamrock Rovers −1.2554.0%
Shamrock Rovers −1.059.9%
Shamrock Rovers −0.7565.8%
Shamrock Rovers −0.571.7%
Shamrock Rovers −0.2576.2%
Shamrock Rovers draw no bet (0.0)80.7%
Shamrock Rovers +0.2585.2%
Shamrock Rovers +0.589.7%
Shamrock Rovers +0.7591.5%
Shamrock Rovers +1.093.4%
Shamrock Rovers +1.597.2%
Shamrock Rovers +2.098.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Shamrock Rovers win1.40
Draw5.55
Drogheda win9.68
Over 2.51.75
Under 2.52.34
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Shamrock Rovers wins by more than 1 goals48%
Drogheda wins by more than 1 goals3%