Chinese Super League
Shanghai Port FC vs Beijing Guoan prediction
0 – 0
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Shanghai Port FC
52%
Draw
23%
Beijing Guoan
25%
Actual result: Shanghai Port FC 0 – 0 Beijing Guoan · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 23%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Shanghai Port FC, negative favours Beijing Guoan) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Shanghai Port FC - Beijing Guoan)+0.66
Expected total goals3.39
Expected goals Shanghai Port FC / Beijing Guoan2.02 / 1.36
Both teams to score (yes / no)65.1% / 34.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 85.7%
Over 2.5 goals 65.8%
Over 3.5 goals 43.9%
First half
First-half result (Shanghai Port FC / draw / Beijing Guoan)40.0% / 37.2% / 22.8%
A goal in the first half77.5%
Two or more in the first half45.8%
Half-time then full-time
Shanghai Port FC lead at half-time then Shanghai Port FC win33.2%
Level at half-time then Shanghai Port FC win16.1%
Beijing Guoan lead at half-time then Beijing Guoan win14.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Shanghai Port FC's side
Shanghai Port FC −2.023.1%
Shanghai Port FC −1.7527.0%
Shanghai Port FC −1.531.0%
Shanghai Port FC −1.2536.3%
Shanghai Port FC −1.041.6%
Shanghai Port FC −0.7546.9%
Shanghai Port FC −0.552.2%
Shanghai Port FC −0.2557.9%
Shanghai Port FC draw no bet (0.0)63.5%
Shanghai Port FC +0.2569.2%
Shanghai Port FC +0.574.8%
Shanghai Port FC +0.7578.4%
Shanghai Port FC +1.081.9%
Shanghai Port FC +1.588.9%
Shanghai Port FC +2.092.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Shanghai Port FC win1.91
Draw4.43
Beijing Guoan win3.97
Over 2.51.52
Under 2.52.92
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Shanghai Port FC wins by more than 1 goals31%
Beijing Guoan wins by more than 1 goals11%