Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Sheff Utd
24%
Draw
27%
Wolves
48%
Actual result: Sheff Utd 0 – 1 Wolves · Wolves winJarvis gave this outcome: 48% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Sheff Utd, negative favours Wolves) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Sheff Utd - Wolves)-0.53
Expected total goals2.83
Expected goals Sheff Utd / Wolves1.15 / 1.68
Both teams to score (yes / no)57.2% / 42.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.0%
Over 2.5 goals 53.7%
Over 3.5 goals 31.4%
First half
First-half result (Sheff Utd / draw / Wolves)20.9% / 43.3% / 35.8%
A goal in the first half70.4%
Two or more in the first half37.9%
Half-time then full-time
Wolves lead at half-time then Wolves win29.9%
Level at half-time then draw16.9%
Level at half-time then Wolves win16.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Sheff Utd's side
Sheff Utd −2.06.7%
Sheff Utd −1.758.5%
Sheff Utd −1.510.2%
Sheff Utd −1.2513.8%
Sheff Utd −1.017.3%
Sheff Utd −0.7520.8%
Sheff Utd −0.524.4%
Sheff Utd −0.2531.3%
Sheff Utd draw no bet (0.0)38.1%
Sheff Utd +0.2545.0%
Sheff Utd +0.551.9%
Sheff Utd +0.7557.2%
Sheff Utd +1.062.6%
Sheff Utd +1.573.3%
Sheff Utd +2.080.9%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Sheff Utd win4.10
Draw3.64
Wolves win2.08
Over 2.51.86
Under 2.52.16
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Sheff Utd wins by more than 1 goals10%
Wolves wins by more than 1 goals27%
Corners
Expected total corners9.8
6.5+ corners in the match52%
Cards
Expected total cards3.4
2.5+ cards in the match43%