Hong Kong 1st Division League
Supreme FC vs Central & West DR & SA prediction
12:30, 20/09
Result not verifiedOutcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Supreme FC
9%
Draw
10%
Central & West DR & SA
81%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Supreme FC, negative favours Central & West DR & SA) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Supreme FC - Central & West DR & SA)-2.18
Expected total goals4.01
Expected goals Supreme FC / Central & West DR & SA0.91 / 3.10
Both teams to score (yes / no)56.2% / 43.8%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 89.9%
Over 2.5 goals 76.3%
Over 3.5 goals 56.9%
First half
First-half result (Supreme FC / draw / Central & West DR & SA)12.7% / 23.6% / 63.7%
A goal in the first half85.4%
Two or more in the first half52.0%
Half-time then full-time
Central & West DR & SA lead at half-time then Central & West DR & SA win59.3%
Level at half-time then Central & West DR & SA win16.2%
Supreme FC lead at half-time then Supreme FC win4.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Supreme FC's side
Supreme FC −2.01.4%
Supreme FC −1.751.9%
Supreme FC −1.52.3%
Supreme FC −1.253.9%
Supreme FC −1.05.6%
Supreme FC −0.757.2%
Supreme FC −0.58.8%
Supreme FC −0.2511.2%
Supreme FC draw no bet (0.0)13.7%
Supreme FC +0.2516.2%
Supreme FC +0.518.7%
Supreme FC +0.7523.5%
Supreme FC +1.028.3%
Supreme FC +1.538.0%
Supreme FC +2.048.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Supreme FC win11.40
Draw10.11
Central & West DR & SA win1.23
Over 2.51.31
Under 2.54.23
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Supreme FC wins by more than 1 goals2%
Central & West DR & SA wins by more than 1 goals62%