UEFA Nations League B
Switzerland vs North Macedonia prediction
3 – 0
Full-timeOutcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Switzerland
92%
Draw
6%
North Macedonia
2%
Actual result: Switzerland 3 – 0 North Macedonia · Switzerland winJarvis gave this outcome: 92% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Switzerland, negative favours North Macedonia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Switzerland - North Macedonia)+2.81
Expected total goals3.37
Expected goals Switzerland / North Macedonia3.09 / 0.28
Both teams to score (yes / no)22.8% / 77.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 84.4%
Over 2.5 goals 65.5%
Over 3.5 goals 43.5%
First half
First-half result (Switzerland / draw / North Macedonia)71.6% / 24.4% / 4.0%
A goal in the first half78.8%
Two or more in the first half44.0%
Half-time then full-time
Switzerland lead at half-time then Switzerland win70.3%
Level at half-time then Switzerland win19.0%
Level at half-time then draw4.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Switzerland's side
Switzerland −2.064.5%
Switzerland −1.7569.9%
Switzerland −1.575.3%
Switzerland −1.2579.4%
Switzerland −1.083.6%
Switzerland −0.7587.7%
Switzerland −0.591.8%
Switzerland −0.2593.3%
Switzerland draw no bet (0.0)94.8%
Switzerland +0.2596.3%
Switzerland +0.597.8%
Switzerland +0.7598.3%
Switzerland +1.098.8%
Switzerland +1.599.8%
Switzerland +2.099.9%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Switzerland win1.09
Draw16.86
North Macedonia win44.68
Over 2.51.53
Under 2.52.90
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Switzerland wins by more than 1 goals75%
North Macedonia wins by more than 1 goals0%
Corners
Expected total corners9.5
6.5+ corners in the match47%
Cards
Expected total cards3.0
2.5+ cards in the match59%