Outcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Torque
61%
Draw
24%
Atenas
15%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Torque, negative favours Atenas) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Torque - Atenas)+1.01
Expected total goals2.59
Expected goals Torque / Atenas1.80 / 0.79
Both teams to score (yes / no)46.4% / 53.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.8%
Over 2.5 goals 48.0%
Over 3.5 goals 26.2%
First half
First-half result (Torque / draw / Atenas)43.4% / 42.0% / 14.7%
A goal in the first half68.3%
Two or more in the first half33.1%
Half-time then full-time
Torque lead at half-time then Torque win38.7%
Level at half-time then Torque win20.1%
Level at half-time then draw15.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Torque's side
Torque −2.026.2%
Torque −1.7530.9%
Torque −1.535.7%
Torque −1.2541.9%
Torque −1.048.1%
Torque −0.7554.4%
Torque −0.560.6%
Torque −0.2566.6%
Torque draw no bet (0.0)72.6%
Torque +0.2578.6%
Torque +0.584.6%
Torque +0.7587.3%
Torque +1.089.9%
Torque +1.595.2%
Torque +2.097.1%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Torque win1.65
Draw4.17
Atenas win6.51
Over 2.52.08
Under 2.51.92
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Torque wins by more than 1 goals36%
Atenas wins by more than 1 goals5%