Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Trabzonspor
66%
Draw
21%
Genclerbirligi
13%
Actual result: Trabzonspor 5 – 0 Genclerbirligi · Trabzonspor winJarvis gave this outcome: 66% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Trabzonspor, negative favours Genclerbirligi) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Trabzonspor - Genclerbirligi)+1.33
Expected total goals3.11
Expected goals Trabzonspor / Genclerbirligi2.22 / 0.89
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.7% / 46.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.7%
Over 2.5 goals 60.2%
Over 3.5 goals 37.8%
First half
First-half result (Trabzonspor / draw / Genclerbirligi)48.7% / 37.8% / 13.5%
A goal in the first half74.2%
Two or more in the first half42.0%
Half-time then full-time
Trabzonspor lead at half-time then Trabzonspor win44.3%
Level at half-time then Trabzonspor win20.1%
Level at half-time then draw12.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Trabzonspor's side
Trabzonspor −2.033.9%
Trabzonspor −1.7538.9%
Trabzonspor −1.544.0%
Trabzonspor −1.2549.6%
Trabzonspor −1.055.2%
Trabzonspor −0.7560.8%
Trabzonspor −0.566.5%
Trabzonspor −0.2571.6%
Trabzonspor draw no bet (0.0)76.8%
Trabzonspor +0.2582.0%
Trabzonspor +0.587.2%
Trabzonspor +0.7589.3%
Trabzonspor +1.091.4%
Trabzonspor +1.595.7%
Trabzonspor +2.097.3%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Trabzonspor win1.50
Draw4.82
Genclerbirligi win7.81
Over 2.51.66
Under 2.52.51
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Trabzonspor wins by more than 1 goals44%
Genclerbirligi wins by more than 1 goals4%