Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Forge prediction
06:00, 27/09
Result not verifiedOutcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Vancouver FC
25%
Draw
26%
Forge
49%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Vancouver FC, negative favours Forge) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Vancouver FC - Forge)-0.50
Expected total goals2.56
Expected goals Vancouver FC / Forge1.03 / 1.53
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.7% / 49.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 72.8%
Over 2.5 goals 47.2%
Over 3.5 goals 25.5%
First half
First-half result (Vancouver FC / draw / Forge)21.2% / 43.1% / 35.7%
A goal in the first half68.1%
Two or more in the first half32.3%
Half-time then full-time
Forge lead at half-time then Forge win29.6%
Level at half-time then Forge win16.9%
Level at half-time then draw16.5%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Vancouver FC's side
Vancouver FC −2.06.0%
Vancouver FC −1.757.7%
Vancouver FC −1.59.3%
Vancouver FC −1.2513.3%
Vancouver FC −1.017.2%
Vancouver FC −0.7521.1%
Vancouver FC −0.525.1%
Vancouver FC −0.2531.6%
Vancouver FC draw no bet (0.0)38.2%
Vancouver FC +0.2544.8%
Vancouver FC +0.551.4%
Vancouver FC +0.7557.3%
Vancouver FC +1.063.2%
Vancouver FC +1.575.0%
Vancouver FC +2.082.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Vancouver FC win3.99
Draw3.80
Forge win2.06
Over 2.52.12
Under 2.51.89
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Vancouver FC wins by more than 1 goals9%
Forge wins by more than 1 goals25%