English Sky Bet Championship

West Ham vs QPR prediction

West Ham
02:00, 10/10
Kicking off soon
QPR

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
West Ham
65%
Draw
20%
QPR
14%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours West Ham, negative favours QPR) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (West Ham - QPR)+1.22
Expected total goals3.00
Expected goals West Ham / QPR2.11 / 0.89
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.9% / 48.1%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.3%
Over 2.5 goals 57.6%
Over 3.5 goals 35.2%
First half
First-half result (West Ham / draw / QPR)47.9% / 37.3% / 14.8%
A goal in the first half73.8%
Two or more in the first half39.3%
Half-time then full-time
West Ham ahead then West Ham win42.9%
level then West Ham win19.6%
level then draw12.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from West Ham
West Ham give 2 trái (−2.0)31.6%
West Ham give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)36.6%
West Ham give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)41.6%
West Ham give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)47.5%
West Ham give 1 trái (−1.0)53.4%
West Ham give 3/4 trái (−0.75)59.4%
West Ham give nửa trái (−0.5)65.3%
West Ham give 1/4 trái (−0.25)70.4%
Level ball (0.0)75.4%
West Ham receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)80.5%
West Ham receive nửa trái (+0.5)85.5%
West Ham receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)88.0%
West Ham receive 1 trái (+1.0)90.5%
West Ham receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)95.4%
West Ham receive 2 trái (+2.0)97.1%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
West Ham win1.53
Draw4.94
QPR win6.92
Over 2.51.74
Under 2.52.36

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
West Ham wins by more than 1 goals42%
QPR wins by more than 1 goals5%
Corners
Expected total corners10.4
6.5+ corners in the match47%
Cards
Expected total cards3.1
2.5+ cards in the match59%

Probability trajectory