Spanish La Liga
Malaga vs Espanyol prediction
Malaga
02:00, 10/10
Kicking off soon
EspanyolOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Malaga
33%
Draw
32%
Espanyol
36%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Malaga, negative favours Espanyol) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Malaga - Espanyol)-0.06
Expected total goals2.39
Expected goals Malaga / Espanyol1.16 / 1.22
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.5% / 49.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.8%
Over 2.5 goals 42.7%
Over 3.5 goals 21.8%
First half
First-half result (Malaga / draw / Espanyol)25.2% / 47.7% / 27.1%
A goal in the first half64.3%
Two or more in the first half30.6%
Half-time then full-time
Espanyol ahead then Espanyol win21.1%
level then draw20.7%
Malaga ahead then Malaga win19.1%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Malaga
Malaga give 2 trái (−2.0)9.4%
Malaga give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)11.9%
Malaga give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)14.3%
Malaga give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)18.9%
Malaga give 1 trái (−1.0)23.4%
Malaga give 3/4 trái (−0.75)28.0%
Malaga give nửa trái (−0.5)32.6%
Malaga give 1/4 trái (−0.25)40.5%
Level ball (0.0)48.5%
Malaga receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)56.4%
Malaga receive nửa trái (+0.5)64.3%
Malaga receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)69.2%
Malaga receive 1 trái (+1.0)74.0%
Malaga receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)83.8%
Malaga receive 2 trái (+2.0)89.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Malaga win3.07
Draw3.15
Espanyol win2.80
Over 2.52.34
Under 2.51.74
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Malaga wins by more than 1 goals14%
Espanyol wins by more than 1 goals16%
Corners
Expected total corners9.3
6.5+ corners in the match45%
Cards
Expected total cards3.0
2.5+ cards in the match57%