Outcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Zamalek
7%
Draw
18%
ZED FC
76%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Zamalek, negative favours ZED FC) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Zamalek - ZED FC)-1.64
Expected total goals2.61
Expected goals Zamalek / ZED FC0.48 / 2.13
Both teams to score (yes / no)34.0% / 66.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.7%
Over 2.5 goals 48.4%
Over 3.5 goals 26.6%
First half
First-half result (Zamalek / draw / ZED FC)8.0% / 38.1% / 53.8%
A goal in the first half68.9%
Two or more in the first half33.0%
Half-time then full-time
ZED FC lead at half-time then ZED FC win51.0%
Level at half-time then ZED FC win22.7%
Level at half-time then draw12.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Zamalek's side
Zamalek −2.00.8%
Zamalek −1.751.1%
Zamalek −1.51.4%
Zamalek −1.252.8%
Zamalek −1.04.1%
Zamalek −0.755.5%
Zamalek −0.56.8%
Zamalek −0.2511.2%
Zamalek draw no bet (0.0)15.7%
Zamalek +0.2520.1%
Zamalek +0.524.5%
Zamalek +0.7530.7%
Zamalek +1.036.9%
Zamalek +1.549.4%
Zamalek +2.060.9%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Zamalek win14.63
Draw5.67
ZED FC win1.32
Over 2.52.07
Under 2.51.94
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Zamalek wins by more than 1 goals1%
ZED FC wins by more than 1 goals51%