Danish Superliga

AGF vs Midtjylland prediction

0 – 2

Full-time

Match summary

AGF vs Midtjylland (Danish Superliga), 03/09/2026, finished 0-2: Midtjylland won. Before the match Jarvis gave AGF 30%, the draw 28% and Midtjylland 42%; the actual result had a 42% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-2. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

AGF

30%

Draw

28%

Midtjylland

42%

Actual result: AGF 0 – 2 Midtjylland · Midtjylland winJarvis gave this outcome: 42% ✓

Probability trajectory · full match

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours AGF, negative favours Midtjylland) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (AGF - Midtjylland)-0.28

Expected total goals2.90

Expected goals AGF / Midtjylland1.31 / 1.59

Market-standard price (decimal)

AGF win3.36

Draw3.56

Midtjylland win2.37

Over 2.51.81

Under 2.52.24

This is the market-standard price. Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 2.5 goals55.4%

Over 3.5 goals33.0%

Over 1.5 goals80.3%

Full Asian handicap (predicted probability)

Lines shown from AGF's side

AGF +0.2550.9%

AGF draw no bet (0.0)43.8%

AGF +0.557.9%

AGF +0.7562.8%

AGF −0.2536.8%

AGF +1.067.8%

AGF −0.529.8%

AGF −0.7525.7%

AGF +1.577.7%

AGF −1.021.7%

AGF −1.2517.7%

AGF +2.084.3%

AGF −1.513.7%

AGF −1.7511.5%

AGF −2.09.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

AGF wins by more than 1 goals14%

Midtjylland wins by more than 1 goals22%

Both teams to score

Yes / no59.9% / 40.1%

First half

First-half result (AGF / draw / Midtjylland)24.4% / 43.4% / 32.1%

A goal in the first half71.1%

Two or more in the first half39.3%

Half-time then full-time

Midtjylland lead at half-time then Midtjylland win25.7%

AGF lead at half-time then AGF win17.5%

Level at half-time then draw17.1%