Spanish La Liga

Osasuna vs Racing Santander prediction

19:00, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

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Osasuna meet Racing Santander in the La Liga, kick-off 19:00 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Osasuna are 16th (8 points from 8 games) and Racing Santander are 15th (8 points from 8 games). Jarvis gives Osasuna a 47% chance to win, 27% for a draw and 26% for Racing Santander; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 2.9 goals in the match: both teams score with 58%, 3 or more goals with 55%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Osasuna
47%
Draw
27%
Racing Santander
26%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Osasuna, negative favours Racing Santander) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Osasuna - Racing Santander)+0.48
Expected total goals2.87
Expected goals Osasuna / Racing Santander1.67 / 1.20
Both teams to score (yes / no)58.3% / 41.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 79.6%
Over 2.5 goals 54.7%
Over 3.5 goals 32.4%
First half
First-half result (Osasuna / draw / Racing Santander)35.1% / 42.9% / 21.9%
A goal in the first half71.0%
Two or more in the first half38.6%
Half-time then full-time
Osasuna lead at half-time then Osasuna win29.0%
Level at half-time then draw16.6%
Level at half-time then Osasuna win16.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Osasuna's side
Osasuna −2.018.4%
Osasuna −1.7522.1%
Osasuna −1.525.8%
Osasuna −1.2531.1%
Osasuna −1.036.3%
Osasuna −0.7541.6%
Osasuna −0.546.9%
Osasuna −0.2553.7%
Osasuna draw no bet (0.0)60.6%
Osasuna +0.2567.4%
Osasuna +0.574.2%
Osasuna +0.7577.9%
Osasuna +1.081.6%
Osasuna +1.588.9%
Osasuna +2.092.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Osasuna win2.13
Draw3.66
Racing Santander win3.88
Over 2.51.83
Under 2.52.21

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Osasuna wins by more than 1 goals26%
Racing Santander wins by more than 1 goals11%

Probability trajectory

Osasuna vs Racing Santander injury report and team news

Osasuna
  • K. BarjaOut · Muscle Injury
  • R. Del CastilloOut · Muscle Injury
  • J. HerrandoOut · Muscle Injury
  • R. MoroOut · Muscle Injury
  • A. OrozOut · Injury
Racing Santander
  • S. ErikssonOut · Shoulder Injury

Osasuna vs Racing Santander team form

OsasunaLDLLL
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Real Betis (away)2–5
19/09/2026Rayo Vallecano (home)1–1
16/09/2026Atletico Madrid (away)0–4
12/09/2026Espanyol (home)0–2
06/09/2026Alaves (away)2–5
Racing SantanderDLLWL
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Valencia (home)2–2
19/09/2026Celta Vigo (away)0–5
16/09/2026Barcelona (away)2–7
12/09/2026Alaves (home)2–1
05/09/2026Rayo Vallecano (away)2–3

Osasuna vs Racing Santander head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 6 meetings: Osasuna won 3, drew 0, lost 3. Osasuna scored 10 and conceded 10 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
24/07/2026Osasuna2–0Racing Santander
02/08/2025Osasuna0–1Racing Santander
13/05/2012Racing Santander2–4Osasuna
15/01/2012Osasuna0–2Racing Santander
13/03/2011Osasuna3–1Racing Santander
31/10/2010Racing Santander4–1Osasuna

Match information

Venue
Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Round
9

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Sevilla (away)Tue 27/10, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs Deportivo (away)Tue 03/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs EspanyolSat 24/10, 21:15 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
  • vs Real MadridSun 01/11, 22:15 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

La Liga table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona8+2724
2Atletico Madrid8+1019
3Real Betis8+519
...
14Getafe8-68
15Racing Santander8-108
16Osasuna8-108
17Levante7-46

See the full La Liga table