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English Premier League

Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction

Brighton
20:00, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon
Crystal Palace

Quick preview

Brighton meet Crystal Palace in the Premier League, kick-off 20:00 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Brighton are 3rd (13 points from 6 games) and Crystal Palace are 12th (7 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Brighton a 62% chance to win, 22% for a draw and 16% for Crystal Palace; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-0. Jarvis expects 3.0 goals in the match: both teams score with 54%, 3 or more goals with 57%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Brighton
62%
Draw
22%
Crystal Palace
16%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Brighton, negative favours Crystal Palace) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Brighton - Crystal Palace)+1.09
Expected total goals2.98
Expected goals Brighton / Crystal Palace2.04 / 0.94
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.9% / 46.1%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.6%
Over 2.5 goals 57.2%
Over 3.5 goals 34.8%
First half
First-half result (Brighton / draw / Crystal Palace)45.3% / 39.1% / 15.7%
A goal in the first half73.0%
Two or more in the first half39.6%
Half-time then full-time
Brighton lead at half-time then Brighton win40.2%
Level at half-time then Brighton win19.4%
Level at half-time then draw13.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Brighton's side
Brighton −2.029.1%
Brighton −1.7533.9%
Brighton −1.538.6%
Brighton −1.2544.4%
Brighton −1.050.2%
Brighton −0.7556.0%
Brighton −0.561.8%
Brighton −0.2567.4%
Brighton draw no bet (0.0)73.0%
Brighton +0.2578.6%
Brighton +0.584.1%
Brighton +0.7586.7%
Brighton +1.089.3%
Brighton +1.594.5%
Brighton +2.096.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Brighton win1.62
Draw4.48
Crystal Palace win6.31
Over 2.51.75
Under 2.52.34

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Brighton wins by more than 1 goals39%
Crystal Palace wins by more than 1 goals6%

Probability trajectory

Brighton vs Crystal Palace injury report and team news

Brighton
  • F. AzeezOut · Abdominal strain
  • E. FergusonOut · Ankle Injury
  • Y. MintehOut · Injury
  • K. MitomaOut · Hamstring Injury
  • S. TzimasOut · Knee Injury
  • M. WiefferOut · Knee Injury
  • Z. YohannaDoubtful · Lacking Match Fitness
Crystal Palace
  • A. DisasiOut · Red Card
  • D. HendersonOut · Foot Injury
  • J. MatetaOut · Hamstring Injury
  • C. RiadOut · Knee Injury
  • T. TomiyasuOut · Calf Injury

Brighton vs Crystal Palace team form

BrightonWWWWD
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Sunderland (away)2–0
19/09/2026Arsenal (home)3–0
16/09/2026Manchester United (away)3–2
13/09/2026Coventry (away)5–0
05/09/2026Leeds (home)1–1
Crystal PalaceWLDW
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Nottingham Forest (home)3–1
03/10/2026Bristol City (home)0–2
20/09/2026Leeds (away)0–0
17/09/2026Lech Poznan (home)4–0

Brighton vs Crystal Palace head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Brighton won 2, drew 5, lost 3. Brighton scored 11 and conceded 11 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/2026Brighton0–1Crystal Palace
09/11/2025Crystal Palace0–0Brighton
05/04/2025Crystal Palace2–1Brighton
15/12/2024Brighton1–3Crystal Palace
03/02/2024Brighton4–1Crystal Palace
21/12/2023Crystal Palace1–1Brighton
15/03/2023Brighton1–0Crystal Palace
11/02/2023Crystal Palace1–1Brighton
14/01/2022Brighton1–1Crystal Palace
27/09/2021Crystal Palace1–1Brighton

Match information

Venue
Amex Stadium, Brighton
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

Brighton
  • vs Liverpool (away)Sun 25/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
  • vs Manchester City (away)Sat 31/10, 22:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
Crystal Palace

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City6+1118
2Arsenal6+515
3Brighton & Hove Albion6+1313
4Brentford6+610
...
11Newcastle United6-38
12Crystal Palace6-37
13Manchester United606

See the full Premier League table