French Ligue 1

Angers vs Marseille prediction

Angers

20:00, 18/10

GMT+7

Kicking off soon

Marseille

Quick preview

Angers meet Marseille in the Ligue 1, kick-off 20:00 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Angers are 13th (7 points from 6 games) and Marseille are 14th (6 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Angers a 27% chance to win, 26% for a draw and 48% for Marseille; the score Jarvis predicts is 1-2. Jarvis expects 2.9 goals in the match: both teams score with 59%, 3 or more goals with 56%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling

Offline

Angers

27%

Draw

26%

Marseille

48%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Angers, negative favours Marseille) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Angers - Marseille)-0.48

Expected total goals2.93

Expected goals Angers / Marseille1.23 / 1.70

Both teams to score (yes / no)58.7% / 41.3%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 80.0%

Over 2.5 goals 56.1%

Over 3.5 goals 33.7%

First half

First-half result (Angers / draw / Marseille)22.8% / 41.3% / 35.9%

A goal in the first half72.2%

Two or more in the first half38.9%

Half-time then full-time

Marseille lead at half-time then Marseille win29.4%

Level at half-time then Marseille win16.1%

Angers lead at half-time then Angers win15.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Angers's side

Angers −2.07.5%

Angers −1.759.4%

Angers −1.511.3%

Angers −1.2515.1%

Angers −1.018.9%

Angers −0.7522.8%

Angers −0.526.6%

Angers −0.2533.0%

Angers draw no bet (0.0)39.5%

Angers +0.2545.9%

Angers +0.552.4%

Angers +0.7557.8%

Angers +1.063.2%

Angers +1.574.0%

Angers +2.081.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Angers win3.76

Draw3.87

Marseille win2.10

Over 2.51.78

Under 2.52.28

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Angers wins by more than 1 goals11%

Marseille wins by more than 1 goals26%

Corners

Expected total corners9.9

6.5+ corners in the match53%

Cards

Expected total cards2.7

2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory

Angers vs Marseille injury report and team news

Angers

J. LefortOut · Red Card
H. BelkeblaDoubtful · Injury
O. CamaraDoubtful · Thigh Injury
J. KaluluDoubtful · Groin Injury

Marseille

D. CorneliusOut · Hip Injury
P. HojbjergDoubtful · Muscle Injury

Angers vs Marseille team form

AngersLWDLW

Last 5 matches
10/10/2026	Stade Brestois 29 (away)	1–5	Ligue 1
19/09/2026	Estac Troyes (home)	2–0	Ligue 1
12/09/2026	Le Havre (away)	0–0	Ligue 1
06/09/2026	Rennes (home)	1–2	Ligue 1
29/08/2026	Auxerre (away)	3–1	Ligue 1

MarseilleLWLLL

Last 5 matches
15/10/2026	Olympiakos Piraeus (home)	0–1	UEFA Europa League
11/10/2026	Estac Troyes (away)	2–0	Ligue 1
20/09/2026	Paris Saint Germain (home)	1–2	Ligue 1
17/09/2026	Besiktas (away)	1–4	UEFA Europa League
11/09/2026	Rennes (away)	0–1	Ligue 1

Angers vs Marseille head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Angers won 1, drew 3, lost 6. Angers scored 12 and conceded 25 goals.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Competition
17/01/2026	Angers	2–5	Marseille	Ligue 1
29/10/2025	Marseille	2–2	Angers	Ligue 1
09/02/2025	Angers	0–2	Marseille	Ligue 1
04/10/2024	Marseille	1–1	Angers	Ligue 1
14/05/2023	Marseille	3–1	Angers	Ligue 1
30/09/2022	Angers	0–3	Marseille	Ligue 1
04/02/2022	Marseille	5–2	Angers	Ligue 1
22/09/2021	Angers	0–0	Marseille	Ligue 1
16/05/2021	Marseille	3–2	Angers	Ligue 1
23/12/2020	Angers	2–1	Marseille	Ligue 1

Match information

Referee: Jeremie Pignard
Venue: Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers
Round: 7

Next fixtures of both teams

Angers

vs LorientSun 25/10, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
vs Lyon (away)Sun 01/11, 02:45 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Marseille

vs SK Sturm Graz (away)Thu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Le Havre ACSun 25/10, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	7	+5	14
2	Lille	7	+5	14
3	AS Monaco	6	+5	14
...
12	Strasbourg	7	-3	7
13	Angers	6	-3	7
14	Marseille	6	+1	6
15	Le Mans	7	-5	6

See the full Ligue 1 table