Italian Serie A

Fiorentina vs Como prediction

20:00, 18/10
GMT+7
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Fiorentina meet Como in the Serie A, kick-off 20:00 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Fiorentina are 19th (4 points from 6 games) and Como are 8th (11 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Fiorentina a 27% chance to win, 27% for a draw and 46% for Como; the score Jarvis predicts is 1-2. Jarvis expects 2.6 goals in the match: both teams score with 53%, 3 or more goals with 48%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Fiorentina
27%
Draw
27%
Como
46%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Fiorentina, negative favours Como) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Fiorentina - Como)-0.41
Expected total goals2.61
Expected goals Fiorentina / Como1.10 / 1.51
Both teams to score (yes / no)52.7% / 47.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 74.1%
Over 2.5 goals 48.4%
Over 3.5 goals 26.6%
First half
First-half result (Fiorentina / draw / Como)22.5% / 43.4% / 34.1%
A goal in the first half68.5%
Two or more in the first half33.4%
Half-time then full-time
Como lead at half-time then Como win27.8%
Level at half-time then draw16.8%
Level at half-time then Como win16.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Fiorentina's side
Fiorentina −2.07.0%
Fiorentina −1.758.9%
Fiorentina −1.510.7%
Fiorentina −1.2514.8%
Fiorentina −1.018.9%
Fiorentina −0.7523.0%
Fiorentina −0.527.0%
Fiorentina −0.2533.8%
Fiorentina draw no bet (0.0)40.6%
Fiorentina +0.2547.4%
Fiorentina +0.554.1%
Fiorentina +0.7559.8%
Fiorentina +1.065.4%
Fiorentina +1.576.7%
Fiorentina +2.083.7%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Fiorentina win3.70
Draw3.69
Como win2.18
Over 2.52.07
Under 2.51.94

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Fiorentina wins by more than 1 goals11%
Como wins by more than 1 goals23%

Probability trajectory

Fiorentina vs Como injury report and team news

Fiorentina
  • A. AttaOut · Abdominal strain
  • F. ParisiOut · Knee Injury
  • R. SottilOut · Back Injury
Como
  • M. KeanOut · Leg Injury
  • A. DiaoDoubtful · Injury

Fiorentina vs Como team form

FiorentinaLDWWL
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Genoa (away)1–2
20/09/2026Napoli (home)1–1
15/09/2026Pisa (home)3–0
11/09/2026Venezia (away)4–2
05/09/2026Torino (home)1–2
ComoLDLWW
Last 5 matches
14/10/2026Feyenoord (away)2–3
11/10/2026AS Roma (home)0–0
20/09/2026Frosinone (away)0–2
14/09/2026Parma (home)2–1
10/09/2026RB Leipzig (home)4–1

Fiorentina vs Como head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 5 meetings: Fiorentina won 2, drew 0, lost 3. Fiorentina scored 6 and conceded 8 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/2026Como1–2Fiorentina
27/01/2026Fiorentina1–3Como
21/09/2025Fiorentina1–2Como
16/02/2025Fiorentina0–2Como
24/11/2024Como0–2Fiorentina

Match information

Referee
Marco Di Bello
Venue
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Internazionale (away)Sun 25/10, 18:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs AtalantaFri 30/10, 02:45 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs Manchester UnitedWed 21/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs SassuoloSat 24/10, 20:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Internazionale6+1016
2Lazio6+716
3AS Roma6+1114
...
7Juventus6+411
8Como6+311
9Napoli6+410
...
18Parma6-64
19Fiorentina6-74
20Venezia6-110

See the full Serie A table