Quick preview
Celta Vigo meet Alaves in the La Liga, kick-off 21:15 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Celta Vigo are 9th (8 points from 8 games) and Alaves are 7th (11 points from 8 games). Jarvis gives Celta Vigo a 44% chance to win, 31% for a draw and 25% for Alaves; the score Jarvis predicts is 1-0. Jarvis expects 2.1 goals in the match: both teams score with 41%, 3 or more goals with 34%.
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Outcome probability


Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory
Celta Vigo vs Alaves injury report and team news
Celta Vigo- P. DuranOut · Calf Injury
- J. El AbdellaouiOut · Knee Injury
- B. IglesiasOut · Muscle Injury
- M. RomanOut · Knee Injury
- C. StarfeltOut · Muscle Injury
Alaves- F. GarcesOut · Suspended
- A. PerezOut · Red Card
- M. RodriguezOut · Ankle Injury
Celta Vigo vs Alaves team form
Celta VigoLDWLD| 15/10/2026 | Juventus (home) | 1–2 |
| 11/10/2026 | Elche (away) | 0–0 |
| 19/09/2026 | Racing Santander (home) | 5–0 |
| 16/09/2026 | Omonia Nicosia (away) | 0–1 |
| 13/09/2026 | Malaga (home) | 1–1 |
AlavesLDLLW| 10/10/2026 | Atletico Madrid (home) | 1–2 |
| 19/09/2026 | Athletic Club (away) | 0–0 |
| 15/09/2026 | Valencia (home) | 0–1 |
| 12/09/2026 | Racing Santander (away) | 1–2 |
| 06/09/2026 | Osasuna (home) | 5–2 |
Celta Vigo vs Alaves head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Celta Vigo won 6, drew 2, lost 2. Celta Vigo scored 19 and conceded 12 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | Celta Vigo | 3–4 | Alaves |
| 22/11/2025 | Alaves | 0–1 | Celta Vigo |
| 27/01/2025 | Alaves | 1–1 | Celta Vigo |
| 16/08/2024 | Celta Vigo | 2–1 | Alaves |
| 27/04/2024 | Alaves | 3–0 | Celta Vigo |
| 28/09/2023 | Celta Vigo | 1–1 | Alaves |
| 07/05/2022 | Celta Vigo | 4–0 | Alaves |
| 27/11/2021 | Alaves | 1–2 | Celta Vigo |
| 04/04/2021 | Alaves | 1–3 | Celta Vigo |
| 20/12/2020 | Celta Vigo | 2–0 | Alaves |
Match information
- Venue
- Municipal de Balaidos, Vigo
- Round
- 9
Next fixtures of both teams
- vs Celtic (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
- vs Real BetisSun 25/10, 22:15 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs MalagaSat 24/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
- vs Barcelona (away)Sun 01/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · La Liga 26-27
Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)
- Roma vs Genoa01:45 · Serie A61% / 24% / 15%
- Osasuna vs Racing Santander19:00 · La Liga48% / 26% / 26%
- Fiorentina vs Como20:00 · Serie A27% / 27% / 46%
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace20:00 · Premier League63% / 21% / 15%
- Leeds vs Man Utd20:00 · Premier League40% / 28% / 31%
- Bournemouth vs Sunderland20:00 · Premier League44% / 30% / 26%
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
La Liga table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 8 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 8 | +5 | 19 |
| ... | ||||
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 8 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Alaves | 8 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 8 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 6 | +1 | 8 |















