UEFA Europa League
0'
Jagiellonia BialystockJagiellonia Bialystock0
Ararat ArmeniaArarat Armenia0
UEFA Europa League
0'
HoffenheimHoffenheim0
BesiktasBesiktas0
UEFA Europa League
0'
Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb0
AnderlechtAnderlecht0
UEFA Europa League
0'
BenficaBenfica0
CelticCeltic0
UEFA Conference League
0'
AtalantaAtalanta0
Pafos FCPafos FC0
UEFA Conference League
0'
FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen0
BragaBraga0
UEFA Europa League
0'
FerencvarosFerencvaros0
PlzenPlzen0
UEFA Europa League
0'
BournemouthBournemouth0
Sturm GrazSturm Graz0
All 30 live →
English Premier League

Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction

Bournemouth
20:00, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon
Sunderland

Quick preview

Bournemouth meet Sunderland in the Premier League, kick-off 20:00 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Bournemouth are 18th (3 points from 6 games) and Sunderland are 17th (4 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Bournemouth a 45% chance to win, 29% for a draw and 26% for Sunderland; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 2.6 goals in the match: both teams score with 54%, 3 or more goals with 49%.

What is your call?

Pick a result to see what other readers think. A fun poll, no prize.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Bournemouth
45%
Draw
29%
Sunderland
26%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Bournemouth, negative favours Sunderland) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Bournemouth - Sunderland)+0.40
Expected total goals2.62
Expected goals Bournemouth / Sunderland1.51 / 1.11
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.7% / 46.3%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 75.2%
Over 2.5 goals 48.5%
Over 3.5 goals 26.7%
First half
First-half result (Bournemouth / draw / Sunderland)33.3% / 44.9% / 21.8%
A goal in the first half67.8%
Two or more in the first half34.3%
Half-time then full-time
Bournemouth lead at half-time then Bournemouth win27.3%
Level at half-time then draw18.2%
Level at half-time then Bournemouth win16.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Bournemouth's side
Bournemouth −2.016.2%
Bournemouth −1.7519.7%
Bournemouth −1.523.2%
Bournemouth −1.2528.6%
Bournemouth −1.034.0%
Bournemouth −0.7539.4%
Bournemouth −0.544.8%
Bournemouth −0.2552.0%
Bournemouth draw no bet (0.0)59.2%
Bournemouth +0.2566.5%
Bournemouth +0.573.7%
Bournemouth +0.7577.5%
Bournemouth +1.081.4%
Bournemouth +1.589.1%
Bournemouth +2.092.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Bournemouth win2.23
Draw3.46
Sunderland win3.80
Over 2.52.06
Under 2.51.94

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Bournemouth wins by more than 1 goals23%
Sunderland wins by more than 1 goals11%

Probability trajectory

Bournemouth vs Sunderland injury report and team news

Bournemouth
  • J. AraujoOut · Thigh Injury
  • E. J. KroupiOut · Foot Injury
  • V. MilosavljevicOut · Injury
  • A. ScottOut · Thigh Injury
  • A. AdliDoubtful · Calf Injury
  • J. KluivertDoubtful · Muscle Injury
Sunderland
  • D. BallardOut · Muscle Injury
  • H. DiarraOut · Hamstring Injury
  • T. MeunierOut · Muscle Injury
  • R. MundleOut · Knee Injury
  • B. BrobbeyDoubtful · Muscle Injury

Bournemouth vs Sunderland team form

BournemouthLLWDW
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Chelsea (away)1–5
20/09/2026Liverpool (home)0–1
17/09/2026Real Sociedad (away)2–1
12/09/2026Brentford (home)2–2
08/09/2026Lincoln (home)4–0
SunderlandLLWL
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Brighton (home)0–2
20/09/2026Manchester City (away)3–5
16/09/2026AZ Alkmaar (home)1–0
12/09/2026Arsenal (home)0–2

Bournemouth vs Sunderland head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 6 meetings: Bournemouth won 2, drew 2, lost 2. Bournemouth scored 8 and conceded 7 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/2026Bournemouth1–1Sunderland
29/11/2025Sunderland3–2Bournemouth
29/04/2017Sunderland0–1Bournemouth
05/11/2016Bournemouth1–2Sunderland
23/01/2016Sunderland1–1Bournemouth
19/09/2015Bournemouth2–0Sunderland

Match information

Venue
Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

Bournemouth
Sunderland

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City6+1118
2Arsenal6+515
3Brighton & Hove Albion6+1313
...
16Aston Villa6-55
17Sunderland6-64
18AFC Bournemouth6-63
19Tottenham Hotspur6-63

See the full Premier League table