Quick preview
Leeds meet Man Utd in the Premier League, kick-off 20:00 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Leeds are 7th (9 points from 6 games) and Man Utd are 13th (6 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Leeds a 40% chance to win, 28% for a draw and 32% for Man Utd; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 2.8 goals in the match: both teams score with 57%, 3 or more goals with 52%.
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Outcome probability


Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Probability trajectory
Leeds vs Man Utd injury report and team news
Leeds- D. JamesOut · Back Injury
- M. JosephOut · Knee Injury
- J. RodonOut · Muscle Injury
Man Utd- P. DorguOut · Hamstring Injury
- T. HeatonOut · Abdominal strain
- K. MainooOut · Injury
- N. MazraouiOut · Injury
- B. SeskoOut · Leg Injury
- L. ShawOut · Injury
- M. UgarteOut · Knee Injury
Leeds vs Man Utd team form
LeedsLDWLD| 10/10/2026 | Arsenal (away) | 1–2 |
| 20/09/2026 | Crystal Palace (home) | 0–0 |
| 14/09/2026 | Newcastle (home) | 4–1 |
| 09/09/2026 | Chelsea (away) | 3–6 |
| 05/09/2026 | Brighton (away) | 1–1 |
Man UtdLDDLL| 13/10/2026 | Atletico Madrid (away) | 0–2 |
| 10/10/2026 | Tottenham (home) | 1–1 |
| 20/09/2026 | Fulham (away) | 1–1 |
| 16/09/2026 | Brighton (home) | 2–3 |
| 13/09/2026 | Manchester City (home) | 0–1 |
Leeds vs Man Utd head to head (H2H)
Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Leeds won 1, drew 5, lost 4. Leeds scored 9 and conceded 18 goals.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2026 | Manchester United | 1–1 | Leeds |
| 13/04/2026 | Manchester United | 1–2 | Leeds |
| 04/01/2026 | Leeds | 1–1 | Manchester United |
| 19/07/2025 | Manchester United | 0–0 | Leeds |
| 12/07/2023 | Manchester United | 2–0 | Leeds |
| 12/02/2023 | Leeds | 0–2 | Manchester United |
| 08/02/2023 | Manchester United | 2–2 | Leeds |
| 20/02/2022 | Leeds | 2–4 | Manchester United |
| 14/08/2021 | Manchester United | 5–1 | Leeds |
| 25/04/2021 | Leeds | 0–0 | Manchester United |
Match information
- Venue
- Elland Road, Leeds
- Round
- 7
Next fixtures of both teams
Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)
- Roma vs Genoa01:45 · Serie A67% / 21% / 12%
- Osasuna vs Racing Santander19:00 · La Liga47% / 27% / 26%
- Bournemouth vs Sunderland20:00 · Premier League45% / 29% / 26%
- Brighton vs Crystal Palace20:00 · Premier League62% / 22% / 16%
- Nottm Forest vs Arsenal22:30 · Premier League15% / 26% / 59%
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.
Premier League table, latest
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | +13 | 13 |
| ... | ||||
| 6 | Chelsea | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Leeds United | 6 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 6 | +2 | 9 |
| ... | ||||
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Coventry City | 6 | -6 | 6 |















