Argentinian Primera Division

Barracas Central vs Rosario Central prediction

0 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Barracas Central vs Rosario Central (Argentinian Primera Division), 17/08/2026, finished 0-1: Rosario Central won. Before the match Jarvis gave Barracas Central 36%, the draw 33% and Rosario Central 31%; the actual result had a 31% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 1.8.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Barracas Central

36%

Draw

33%

Rosario Central

31%

Actual result: Barracas Central 0 – 1 Rosario Central · Rosario Central winJarvis gave this outcome: 31%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Barracas Central, negative favours Rosario Central) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Barracas Central - Rosario Central)+0.09

Expected total goals1.84

Expected goals Barracas Central / Rosario Central0.96 / 0.87

Both teams to score (yes / no)36.2% / 63.8%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 55.0%

Over 2.5 goals 27.9%

Over 3.5 goals 11.5%

First half

First-half result (Barracas Central / draw / Rosario Central)25.6% / 51.7% / 22.7%

A goal in the first half56.1%

Two or more in the first half20.2%

Half-time then full-time

Level at half-time then draw24.1%

Barracas Central lead at half-time then Barracas Central win20.2%

Rosario Central lead at half-time then Rosario Central win17.1%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Barracas Central's side

Barracas Central −2.08.6%

Barracas Central −1.7511.0%

Barracas Central −1.513.5%

Barracas Central −1.2519.1%

Barracas Central −1.024.8%

Barracas Central −0.7530.4%

Barracas Central −0.536.1%

Barracas Central −0.2544.3%

Barracas Central draw no bet (0.0)52.5%

Barracas Central +0.2560.7%

Barracas Central +0.568.9%

Barracas Central +0.7574.0%

Barracas Central +1.079.1%

Barracas Central +1.589.3%

Barracas Central +2.093.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Barracas Central win2.77

Draw3.05

Rosario Central win3.22

Over 2.53.58

Under 2.51.39

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Barracas Central wins by more than 1 goals13%

Rosario Central wins by more than 1 goals11%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 17/08 (GMT+7)

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The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.