Turkish Super League

Besiktas vs Eyupspor prediction

1 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Besiktas vs Eyupspor (Turkish Super League), 17/08/2026, finished 1-0: Besiktas won. Before the match Jarvis gave Besiktas 70%, the draw 19% and Eyupspor 11%; the actual result had a 70% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 1 goal; Jarvis expected 3.1.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Besiktas
70%
Draw
19%
Eyupspor
11%
Actual result: Besiktas 1 – 0 Eyupspor · Besiktas winJarvis gave this outcome: 70% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Besiktas, negative favours Eyupspor) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Besiktas - Eyupspor)+1.47
Expected total goals3.10
Expected goals Besiktas / Eyupspor2.28 / 0.81
Both teams to score (yes / no)50.8% / 49.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 82.3%
Over 2.5 goals 59.8%
Over 3.5 goals 37.4%
First half
First-half result (Besiktas / draw / Eyupspor)51.0% / 36.9% / 12.1%
A goal in the first half74.3%
Two or more in the first half41.5%
Half-time then full-time
Besiktas lead at half-time then Besiktas win47.0%
Level at half-time then Besiktas win20.6%
Level at half-time then draw11.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Besiktas's side
Besiktas −2.036.7%
Besiktas −1.7541.9%
Besiktas −1.547.2%
Besiktas −1.2552.8%
Besiktas −1.058.5%
Besiktas −0.7564.1%
Besiktas −0.569.7%
Besiktas −0.2574.6%
Besiktas draw no bet (0.0)79.4%
Besiktas +0.2584.3%
Besiktas +0.589.1%
Besiktas +0.7591.0%
Besiktas +1.092.8%
Besiktas +1.596.6%
Besiktas +2.097.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Besiktas win1.43
Draw5.17
Eyupspor win9.17
Over 2.51.67
Under 2.52.49

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Besiktas wins by more than 1 goals47%
Eyupspor wins by more than 1 goals3%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Crystal PalaceFri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Celtic (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 17/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.