UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

Bodo Glimt vs Union St Gilloise prediction

3 – 2
Full-time

Match summary

Bodo Glimt vs Union St Gilloise (Champions League), 11/08/2026, finished 3-2: Bodo Glimt won. Before the match Jarvis gave Bodo Glimt 60%, the draw 22% and Union St Gilloise 18%; the actual result had a 60% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Bodo Glimt
60%
Draw
22%
Union St Gilloise
18%
Actual result: Bodo Glimt 3 – 2 Union St Gilloise · Bodo Glimt winJarvis gave this outcome: 60% ✓
Probability trajectory · full match
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Bodo Glimt, negative favours Union St Gilloise) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Bodo Glimt win1.67
Draw4.59
Union St Gilloise win5.51
Over 2.51.59
Under 2.52.69

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Bodo Glimt's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
First half
First-half result (Bodo Glimt / draw / Union St Gilloise)44.7% / 37.6% / 17.7%
A goal in the first half75.8%
Two or more in the first half43.7%
Half-time then full-time
Bodo Glimt lead at half-time then Bodo Glimt win39.1%
Level at half-time then Bodo Glimt win18.3%
Level at half-time then draw12.5%

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Napoli (away)Wed 21/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs LilleWed 04/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs Hapoel Be'erThu 22/10, 23:45 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
  • vs Celta Vigo (away)Fri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

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