Italian Serie A

Udinese vs Lecce prediction

17:30, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

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Udinese meet Lecce in the Serie A, kick-off 17:30 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Udinese are 15th (4 points from 6 games) and Lecce are 13th (6 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Udinese a 52% chance to win, 27% for a draw and 20% for Lecce; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-0. Jarvis expects 2.5 goals in the match: both teams score with 48%, 3 or more goals with 45%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Udinese
52%
Draw
27%
Lecce
20%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Udinese, negative favours Lecce) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Udinese - Lecce)+0.69
Expected total goals2.49
Expected goals Udinese / Lecce1.59 / 0.90
Both teams to score (yes / no)48.4% / 51.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 72.2%
Over 2.5 goals 45.4%
Over 3.5 goals 24.0%
First half
First-half result (Udinese / draw / Lecce)37.7% / 44.5% / 17.8%
A goal in the first half66.5%
Two or more in the first half31.7%
Half-time then full-time
Udinese lead at half-time then Udinese win32.4%
Level at half-time then Udinese win18.5%
Level at half-time then draw17.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Udinese's side
Udinese −2.020.1%
Udinese −1.7524.2%
Udinese −1.528.3%
Udinese −1.2534.3%
Udinese −1.040.3%
Udinese −0.7546.3%
Udinese −0.552.4%
Udinese −0.2559.2%
Udinese draw no bet (0.0)66.0%
Udinese +0.2572.9%
Udinese +0.579.7%
Udinese +0.7583.0%
Udinese +1.086.3%
Udinese +1.592.9%
Udinese +2.095.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Udinese win1.91
Draw3.66
Lecce win4.93
Over 2.52.20
Under 2.51.83

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Udinese wins by more than 1 goals28%
Lecce wins by more than 1 goals7%
Corners
Expected total corners9.5
6.5+ corners in the match48%
Cards
Expected total cards2.7
2.5+ cards in the match50%

Probability trajectory

Udinese vs Lecce injury report and team news

Udinese
  • J. AbankwahOut · Injury
  • V. BayoOut · Thigh Injury
  • I. GueyeOut · Ankle Injury
  • N. ZanioloOut · Thigh Injury
  • J. PiotrowskiDoubtful · Heart Problems
  • A. ZanoliDoubtful · Muscle Injury
Lecce
  • I. IlicOut · Thigh Injury
  • M. BerishaDoubtful · Lacking Match Fitness
  • N. StulicDoubtful · Muscle Injury

Udinese vs Lecce team form

UdineseLDLLL
Last 5 matches
12/10/2026Torino (away)1–2
26/09/2026Pogon Szczecin (away)1–1
19/09/2026Cagliari (home)0–1
14/09/2026Inter (away)3–5
07/09/2026Lazio (home)1–2
LecceLLWLL
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Bologna (home)1–2
20/09/2026AC Milan (away)0–3
13/09/2026Monza (home)3–2
07/09/2026Cagliari (away)0–1
31/08/2026AS Roma (home)0–4

Udinese vs Lecce head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Udinese won 5, drew 2, lost 3. Udinese scored 13 and conceded 9 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
08/02/2026Lecce2–1Udinese
25/10/2025Udinese3–2Lecce
21/02/2025Lecce0–1Udinese
05/10/2024Udinese1–0Lecce
13/05/2024Lecce0–2Udinese
23/10/2023Udinese1–1Lecce
28/04/2023Lecce1–0Udinese
23/12/2022Udinese2–0Lecce
04/11/2022Udinese1–1Lecce
29/07/2020Udinese1–2Lecce

Match information

Referee
Marco Guida
Venue
Bluenergy Stadium, Udine
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs AC MilanMon 26/10, 02:45 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs Parma (away)Thu 29/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs JuventusMon 26/10, 00:00 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27
  • vs Frosinone (away)Fri 30/10, 00:30 GMT+7 · Serie A 26-27

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Serie A table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Internazionale7+1219
2AS Roma7+1317
3Lazio6+716
...
12Torino6-27
13Lecce6-66
14Bologna7-45
15Udinese6-44
16Monza6-64

See the full Serie A table