Match summary
Canada vs Bosnia (World Cup), 13/06/2026, finished 1-1: a draw.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Canada
53%
Draw
26%
Bosnia
21%
Actual result: Canada 1 – 1 Bosnia · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 26%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Canada, negative favours Bosnia) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Canada - Bosnia)+0.69
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Canada / Bosnia1.60 / 0.90
Both teams to score (yes / no)48.1% / 51.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 72.0%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Canada / draw / Bosnia)38.2% / 43.8% / 18.1%
A goal in the first half67.0%
Two or more in the first half31.6%
Half-time then full-time
Canada lead at half-time then Canada win32.7%
Level at half-time then Canada win18.4%
Level at half-time then draw17.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Canada's side
Canada −2.020.3%
Canada −1.7524.4%
Canada −1.528.5%
Canada −1.2534.6%
Canada −1.040.7%
Canada −0.7546.8%
Canada −0.552.9%
Canada −0.2559.5%
Canada draw no bet (0.0)66.2%
Canada +0.2572.8%
Canada +0.579.4%
Canada +0.7582.8%
Canada +1.086.2%
Canada +1.592.9%
Canada +2.095.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Canada win1.89
Draw3.78
Bosnia win4.86
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
1–1
12.5%
1–0
12.4%
2–0
10.5%
2–1
9.5%
0–0
8.9%
0–1
6.7%
Goal margin
Canada wins by more than 1 goals29%
Bosnia wins by more than 1 goals7%
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 13/06 (GMT+7)
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.