English Sky Bet Championship

Cardiff vs Wrexham prediction

1 – 1

Full-time

Match summary

Cardiff vs Wrexham (English Sky Bet Championship), 18/08/2026, finished 1-1: a draw. Before the match Jarvis gave Cardiff 37%, the draw 28% and Wrexham 35%; the actual result had a 28% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 2.9.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Cardiff

37%

Draw

28%

Wrexham

35%

Actual result: Cardiff 1 – 1 Wrexham · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 28%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Cardiff, negative favours Wrexham) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Cardiff - Wrexham)+0.04

Expected total goals2.86

Expected goals Cardiff / Wrexham1.45 / 1.41

Both teams to score (yes / no)59.3% / 40.7%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 79.3%

Over 2.5 goals 54.4%

Over 3.5 goals 32.1%

First half

First-half result (Cardiff / draw / Wrexham)29.0% / 43.1% / 27.9%

A goal in the first half71.0%

Two or more in the first half38.2%

Half-time then full-time

Cardiff lead at half-time then Cardiff win22.2%

Wrexham lead at half-time then Wrexham win20.9%

Level at half-time then draw16.7%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Cardiff's side

Cardiff −2.012.5%

Cardiff −1.7515.4%

Cardiff −1.518.2%

Cardiff −1.2522.9%

Cardiff −1.027.6%

Cardiff −0.7532.3%

Cardiff −0.537.0%

Cardiff −0.2544.0%

Cardiff draw no bet (0.0)50.9%

Cardiff +0.2557.9%

Cardiff +0.564.8%

Cardiff +0.7569.4%

Cardiff +1.073.9%

Cardiff +1.583.1%

Cardiff +2.088.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Cardiff win2.70

Draw3.60

Wrexham win2.84

Over 2.51.84

Under 2.52.20

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Cardiff wins by more than 1 goals18%

Wrexham wins by more than 1 goals17%

Corners

Expected total corners10.1

6.5+ corners in the match56%

Cards

Expected total cards2.8

2.5+ cards in the match53%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 18/08 (GMT+7)

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The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.