Portuguese Primeira Liga

Casa Pia vs Benfica prediction

0 – 7

Full-time

Match summary

Casa Pia vs Benfica (Portuguese Primeira Liga), 18/08/2026, finished 0-7: Benfica won. Before the match Jarvis gave Casa Pia 6%, the draw 14% and Benfica 80%; the actual result had a 80% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 0-2. The match had 7 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Next for Benfica: Omonia Nicosia (Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7)

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Casa Pia

Draw

14%

Benfica

80%

Actual result: Casa Pia 0 – 7 Benfica · Benfica winJarvis gave this outcome: 80% ✓

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Casa Pia, negative favours Benfica) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Casa Pia - Benfica)-1.99

Expected total goals3.16

Expected goals Casa Pia / Benfica0.58 / 2.58

Both teams to score (yes / no)40.9% / 59.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 82.4%

Over 2.5 goals 61.2%

Over 3.5 goals 38.8%

First half

First-half result (Casa Pia / draw / Benfica)8.2% / 32.3% / 59.5%

A goal in the first half75.8%

Two or more in the first half41.7%

Half-time then full-time

Benfica lead at half-time then Benfica win56.7%

Level at half-time then Benfica win21.0%

Level at half-time then draw8.6%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Casa Pia's side

Casa Pia −2.00.8%

Casa Pia −1.751.1%

Casa Pia −1.51.4%

Casa Pia −1.252.6%

Casa Pia −1.03.8%

Casa Pia −0.755.0%

Casa Pia −0.56.1%

Casa Pia −0.259.6%

Casa Pia draw no bet (0.0)13.0%

Casa Pia +0.2516.4%

Casa Pia +0.519.8%

Casa Pia +0.7525.1%

Casa Pia +1.030.5%

Casa Pia +1.541.2%

Casa Pia +2.052.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Casa Pia win16.27

Draw7.33

Benfica win1.25

Over 2.51.64

Under 2.52.57

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Casa Pia wins by more than 1 goals1%

Benfica wins by more than 1 goals59%

Probability trajectory · full match

Next fixtures of both teams

Benfica

vs Omonia Nicosia (away)Fri 23/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27
vs Lech PoznanFri 06/11, 03:00 GMT+7 · Europa League 26-27

Other matches on 18/08 (GMT+7)

Deportivo vs Elche02:00 · La Liga1–1

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.