Polish Ekstraklasa
Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin prediction
00:00, 04/08
GMT+7
Result not verifiedMatch summary
Cracovia Krakow vs Pogon Szczecin (Polish Ekstraklasa), 04/08/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet.
Outcome probability
Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
Cracovia Krakow
41%
Draw
30%
Pogon Szczecin
28%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Cracovia Krakow, negative favours Pogon Szczecin) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Cracovia Krakow - Pogon Szczecin)+0.27
Expected total goals2.47
Expected goals Cracovia Krakow / Pogon Szczecin1.37 / 1.10
Both teams to score (yes / no)51.3% / 48.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 72.2%
Over 2.5 goals 44.7%
Over 3.5 goals 23.5%
First half
First-half result (Cracovia Krakow / draw / Pogon Szczecin)30.9% / 46.3% / 22.8%
A goal in the first half65.8%
Two or more in the first half31.7%
Half-time then full-time
Cracovia Krakow lead at half-time then Cracovia Krakow win24.9%
Level at half-time then draw19.3%
Pogon Szczecin lead at half-time then Pogon Szczecin win16.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Cracovia Krakow's side
Cracovia Krakow −2.013.8%
Cracovia Krakow −1.7517.0%
Cracovia Krakow −1.520.2%
Cracovia Krakow −1.2525.5%
Cracovia Krakow −1.030.9%
Cracovia Krakow −0.7536.2%
Cracovia Krakow −0.541.5%
Cracovia Krakow −0.2549.0%
Cracovia Krakow draw no bet (0.0)56.5%
Cracovia Krakow +0.2564.1%
Cracovia Krakow +0.571.6%
Cracovia Krakow +0.7575.8%
Cracovia Krakow +1.079.9%
Cracovia Krakow +1.588.3%
Cracovia Krakow +2.092.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Cracovia Krakow win2.41
Draw3.32
Pogon Szczecin win3.52
Over 2.52.24
Under 2.51.81
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Cracovia Krakow wins by more than 1 goals20%
Pogon Szczecin wins by more than 1 goals12%