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English Premier League

Nottm Forest vs Arsenal prediction

Nottm Forest
22:30, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon
Arsenal

Quick preview

Nottm Forest meet Arsenal in the Premier League, kick-off 22:30 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Nottm Forest are 15th (5 points from 6 games) and Arsenal are 2nd (15 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Nottm Forest a 15% chance to win, 26% for a draw and 59% for Arsenal; the score Jarvis predicts is 0-2. Jarvis expects 2.4 goals in the match: both teams score with 43%, 3 or more goals with 43%. Last 8 meetings: Nottm Forest won 1, 2 drawn, Arsenal won 5.

What is your call?

Pick a result to see what other readers think. A fun poll, no prize.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Nottm Forest
15%
Draw
26%
Arsenal
59%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Nottm Forest, negative favours Arsenal) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Nottm Forest - Arsenal)-0.94
Expected total goals2.40
Expected goals Nottm Forest / Arsenal0.73 / 1.67
Both teams to score (yes / no)43.0% / 57.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 70.1%
Over 2.5 goals 43.1%
Over 3.5 goals 22.2%
First half
First-half result (Nottm Forest / draw / Arsenal)14.2% / 44.2% / 41.6%
A goal in the first half65.4%
Two or more in the first half30.1%
Half-time then full-time
Arsenal lead at half-time then Arsenal win37.1%
Level at half-time then Arsenal win20.3%
Level at half-time then draw17.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Nottm Forest's side
Nottm Forest −2.02.8%
Nottm Forest −1.753.6%
Nottm Forest −1.54.5%
Nottm Forest −1.257.2%
Nottm Forest −1.09.9%
Nottm Forest −0.7512.6%
Nottm Forest −0.515.3%
Nottm Forest −0.2521.7%
Nottm Forest draw no bet (0.0)28.1%
Nottm Forest +0.2534.6%
Nottm Forest +0.541.0%
Nottm Forest +0.7547.4%
Nottm Forest +1.053.8%
Nottm Forest +1.566.6%
Nottm Forest +2.075.9%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Nottm Forest win6.54
Draw3.89
Arsenal win1.69
Over 2.52.32
Under 2.51.76

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Nottm Forest wins by more than 1 goals5%
Arsenal wins by more than 1 goals33%

Probability trajectory

Nottm Forest vs Arsenal team form

Nottm ForestLLWDD
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Crystal Palace (away)1–3
19/09/2026Coventry (home)0–1
12/09/2026Aston Villa (away)2–1
05/09/2026Tottenham (home)0–0
29/08/2026Liverpool (away)2–2
ArsenalWWLWW
Last 5 matches
13/10/2026Lille (home)3–0
10/10/2026Leeds (home)2–1
19/09/2026Brighton (away)0–3
15/09/2026Ipswich (away)4–2
12/09/2026Sunderland (away)2–0

Nottm Forest vs Arsenal head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Nottm Forest won 2, drew 2, lost 6. Nottm Forest scored 4 and conceded 20 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/2026Nottingham Forest0–0Arsenal
13/09/2025Arsenal3–0Nottingham Forest
26/02/2025Nottingham Forest0–0Arsenal
23/11/2024Arsenal3–0Nottingham Forest
30/01/2024Nottingham Forest1–2Arsenal
12/08/2023Arsenal2–1Nottingham Forest
20/05/2023Nottingham Forest1–0Arsenal
30/10/2022Arsenal5–0Nottingham Forest
09/01/2022Nottingham Forest1–0Arsenal
24/09/2019Arsenal5–0Nottingham Forest

Match information

Venue
City Ground, Nottingham
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

Nottm Forest
  • vs Ipswich Town (away)Sat 24/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
  • vs Brentford (away)Sat 31/10, 22:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27
Arsenal
  • vs Bayern Munich (away)Thu 22/10, 02:00 GMT+7 · Champions League 26-27
  • vs EvertonSat 24/10, 21:00 GMT+7 · Premier League 26-27

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Premier League table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City6+1118
2Arsenal6+515
3Brighton & Hove Albion6+1313
...
14Coventry City6-66
15Nottingham Forest6-35
16Aston Villa6-55

See the full Premier League table