French Ligue 1

Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction

22:15, 18/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

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Le Havre meet Auxerre in the Ligue 1, kick-off 22:15 on 18/10 (GMT+7). In the table, Le Havre are 18th (2 points from 6 games) and Auxerre are 16th (6 points from 6 games). Jarvis gives Le Havre a 41% chance to win, 29% for a draw and 30% for Auxerre; the score Jarvis predicts is 2-1. Jarvis expects 2.7 goals in the match: both teams score with 57%, 3 or more goals with 51%.

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Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Le Havre
41%
Draw
29%
Auxerre
30%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Le Havre, negative favours Auxerre) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Le Havre - Auxerre)+0.25
Expected total goals2.73
Expected goals Le Havre / Auxerre1.49 / 1.24
Both teams to score (yes / no)56.8% / 43.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 77.4%
Over 2.5 goals 51.3%
Over 3.5 goals 29.2%
First half
First-half result (Le Havre / draw / Auxerre)31.3% / 44.6% / 24.1%
A goal in the first half69.0%
Two or more in the first half36.4%
Half-time then full-time
Le Havre lead at half-time then Le Havre win25.0%
Level at half-time then draw18.0%
Auxerre lead at half-time then Auxerre win17.4%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Le Havre's side
Le Havre −2.014.7%
Le Havre −1.7517.9%
Le Havre −1.521.1%
Le Havre −1.2526.2%
Le Havre −1.031.2%
Le Havre −0.7536.3%
Le Havre −0.541.3%
Le Havre −0.2548.5%
Le Havre draw no bet (0.0)55.8%
Le Havre +0.2563.1%
Le Havre +0.570.3%
Le Havre +0.7574.4%
Le Havre +1.078.5%
Le Havre +1.586.7%
Le Havre +2.091.2%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
Le Havre win2.42
Draw3.44
Auxerre win3.37
Over 2.51.95
Under 2.52.05

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
Le Havre wins by more than 1 goals21%
Auxerre wins by more than 1 goals13%

Probability trajectory

Le Havre vs Auxerre injury report and team news

Le Havre
  • E. JelertOut · Thigh Injury
  • F. MambimbiOut · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • L. Mpasi-NzauOut · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • T. PembeleOut · Muscle Injury
  • A. SekoOut · Red Card
  • A. ToureOut · Knee Injury
  • S. ZagadouOut · Knee Injury
Auxerre
  • A. DiousseOut · Knee Injury
  • S. FofanaOut · Groin Injury
  • R. MandengueOut · Muscle Injury
  • B. OkohOut · Knee Injury
  • M. SenayaOut · Hamstring Injury
  • T. SiweOut · Muscle Injury

Le Havre vs Auxerre team form

Le HavreLWLDL
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Lille (away)0–1
02/10/2026Boulogne (home)6–1
19/09/2026Toulouse (away)2–3
12/09/2026Angers (home)0–0
05/09/2026Stade Brestois 29 (home)1–2
AuxerreLWWWL
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Rennes (away)1–4
02/10/2026Clermont Foot (home)4–3
20/09/2026Stade Brestois 29 (home)2–1
12/09/2026Nice (home)1–0
04/09/2026Lyon (away)1–3

Le Havre vs Auxerre head to head (H2H)

Head to head record, last 10 meetings: Le Havre won 5, drew 3, lost 2. Le Havre scored 14 and conceded 11 goals.

DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/2026Le Havre1–1Auxerre
26/10/2025Auxerre0–1Le Havre
04/05/2025Auxerre1–2Le Havre
01/09/2024Le Havre3–1Auxerre
07/05/2022Le Havre1–2Auxerre
21/12/2021Auxerre2–3Le Havre
05/04/2021Auxerre1–1Le Havre
01/12/2020Le Havre1–1Auxerre
06/03/2020Le Havre1–0Auxerre
05/10/2019Auxerre2–0Le Havre

Match information

Referee
Eric Wattellier
Venue
Stade Oceane, Le Havre
Round
7

Next fixtures of both teams

  • vs Marseille (away)Sun 25/10, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Paris Saint-GermainSat 31/10, 01:00 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Le MansSun 25/10, 23:15 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27
  • vs Strasbourg (away)Sun 01/11, 21:00 GMT+7 · Ligue 1 26-27

Other matches on 18/10 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.

Ligue 1 table, latest

#TeamPGDPts
1AS Monaco6+514
2Lille6+513
3Stade Rennais6+213
...
15Le Mans7-56
16AJ Auxerre6-86
17Troyes6-94
18Le Havre AC6-42

See the full Ligue 1 table