Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Czech Republic
54%
Draw
25%
South Africa
21%
Actual result: Czech Republic 1 – 1 South Africa · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 25%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Czech Republic, negative favours South Africa) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Czech Republic - South Africa)+0.72
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Czech Republic / South Africa1.61 / 0.89
Both teams to score (yes / no)47.4% / 52.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Czech Republic / draw / South Africa)38.9% / 43.0% / 18.1%
A goal in the first half67.3%
Two or more in the first half31.2%
Half-time then full-time
Czech Republic lead at half-time then Czech Republic win33.3%
Level at half-time then Czech Republic win18.4%
Level at half-time then draw16.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Czech Republic's side
Czech Republic −2.020.7%
Czech Republic −1.7524.8%
Czech Republic −1.529.0%
Czech Republic −1.2535.2%
Czech Republic −1.041.5%
Czech Republic −0.7547.7%
Czech Republic −0.554.0%
Czech Republic −0.2560.3%
Czech Republic draw no bet (0.0)66.7%
Czech Republic +0.2573.1%
Czech Republic +0.579.4%
Czech Republic +0.7582.8%
Czech Republic +1.086.3%
Czech Republic +1.593.1%
Czech Republic +2.095.7%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Czech Republic win1.85
Draw3.93
South Africa win4.86
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
1–0
12.9%
1–1
12.0%
2–0
10.6%
2–1
9.5%
0–0
8.5%
0–1
7.1%
Goal margin
Czech Republic wins by more than 1 goals29%
South Africa wins by more than 1 goals7%