Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes (Argentinian Primera Division), 09/08/2026, finished 2-0: Deportivo Riestra won. Before the match Jarvis gave Deportivo Riestra 34%, the draw 36% and Estudiantes 31%; the actual result had a 34% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 1-1. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 1.8.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Deportivo Riestra
34%
Draw
36%
Estudiantes
31%
Actual result: Deportivo Riestra 2 – 0 Estudiantes · Deportivo Riestra winJarvis gave this outcome: 34%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Deportivo Riestra, negative favours Estudiantes) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Deportivo Riestra lead at half-time then Deportivo Riestra win19.2%
Estudiantes lead at half-time then Estudiantes win17.3%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Deportivo Riestra's side
Deportivo Riestra −2.08.3%
Deportivo Riestra −1.7510.6%
Deportivo Riestra −1.513.0%
Deportivo Riestra −1.2518.2%
Deportivo Riestra −1.023.3%
Deportivo Riestra −0.7528.5%
Deportivo Riestra −0.533.7%
Deportivo Riestra −0.2542.6%
Deportivo Riestra draw no bet (0.0)51.6%
Deportivo Riestra +0.2560.5%
Deportivo Riestra +0.569.5%
Deportivo Riestra +0.7574.3%
Deportivo Riestra +1.079.1%
Deportivo Riestra +1.588.8%
Deportivo Riestra +2.093.0%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Deportivo Riestra win2.97
Draw2.80
Estudiantes win3.28
Over 2.53.56
Under 2.51.39
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
