Brazilian Serie A

Flamengo vs Mirassol prediction

2 – 0
Full-time

Match summary

Flamengo vs Mirassol (Serie A), 03/09/2026, finished 2-0: Flamengo won. Before the match Jarvis gave Flamengo 82%, the draw 13% and Mirassol 5%; the actual result had a 82% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 2 goals; Jarvis expected 3.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Flamengo
82%
Draw
13%
Mirassol
5%
Actual result: Flamengo 2 – 0 Mirassol · Flamengo winJarvis gave this outcome: 82% ✓
Probability trajectory · full match
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Flamengo, negative favours Mirassol) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Tap a row to see how that market has moved.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Flamengo win1.22
Draw7.98
Mirassol win18.60
Over 2.51.62
Under 2.52.60

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Flamengo's side

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin
First half
First-half result (Flamengo / draw / Mirassol)61.2% / 31.3% / 7.5%
A goal in the first half76.1%
Two or more in the first half41.9%
Half-time then full-time
Flamengo lead at half-time then Flamengo win58.6%
Level at half-time then Flamengo win21.0%
Level at half-time then draw8.1%