Japanese J League

Hiroshima vs Jef Utd Chiba prediction

3 – 0

Full-time

Match summary

Hiroshima vs Jef Utd Chiba (Japanese J League), 08/08/2026, finished 3-0: Hiroshima won. Before the match Jarvis gave Hiroshima 71%, the draw 19% and Jef Utd Chiba 11%; the actual result had a 71% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-0. The match had 3 goals; Jarvis expected 2.8.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Hiroshima

71%

Draw

19%

Jef Utd Chiba

11%

Actual result: Hiroshima 3 – 0 Jef Utd Chiba · Hiroshima winJarvis gave this outcome: 71% ✓

Probability trajectory · full match

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Hiroshima, negative favours Jef Utd Chiba) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (Hiroshima - Jef Utd Chiba)+1.44

Expected total goals2.82

Expected goals Hiroshima / Jef Utd Chiba2.13 / 0.69

Market-standard price (decimal)

Hiroshima win1.42

Draw5.38

Jef Utd Chiba win9.22

Over 2.51.86

Under 2.52.16

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 2.5 goals53.6%

Over 3.5 goals31.4%

Over 1.5 goals77.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Hiroshima's side

Hiroshima −1.2552.1%

Hiroshima −1.546.0%

Hiroshima −1.058.3%

Hiroshima −1.7540.6%

Hiroshima −0.7564.4%

Hiroshima −2.035.3%

Hiroshima −0.570.6%

Hiroshima −0.2575.2%

Hiroshima draw no bet (0.0)79.9%

Hiroshima +0.2584.5%

Hiroshima +0.589.2%

Hiroshima +0.7591.2%

Hiroshima +1.093.2%

Hiroshima +1.597.2%

Hiroshima +2.098.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

Hiroshima wins by more than 1 goals46%

Jef Utd Chiba wins by more than 1 goals3%

Both teams to score (yes / no)44.1% / 55.9%

First half

First-half result (Hiroshima / draw / Jef Utd Chiba)51.1% / 37.1% / 11.8%

A goal in the first half71.9%

Two or more in the first half36.3%

Half-time then full-time

Hiroshima lead at half-time then Hiroshima win47.0%

Level at half-time then Hiroshima win20.9%

Level at half-time then draw11.8%