Swedish Superettan

IK Brage vs Orebro prediction

00:00, 15/08
GMT+7
Result not verified

Match summary

IK Brage vs Orebro (Swedish Superettan), 15/08/2026 has been played; a verified score is not on record yet.

Outcome probability

Jarvis prediction from BEFORE kickoff. The match has finished but we have not verified the score yet, so there is no comparison below.
Result not verified
IK Brage
50%
Draw
25%
Orebro
25%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours IK Brage, negative favours Orebro) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (IK Brage - Orebro)+0.60
Expected total goals3.24
Expected goals IK Brage / Orebro1.92 / 1.32
Both teams to score (yes / no)64.0% / 36.0%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 84.9%
Over 2.5 goals 62.8%
Over 3.5 goals 40.6%
First half
First-half result (IK Brage / draw / Orebro)37.7% / 40.5% / 21.8%
A goal in the first half74.9%
Two or more in the first half44.6%
Half-time then full-time
IK Brage lead at half-time then IK Brage win31.5%
Level at half-time then IK Brage win16.5%
Level at half-time then draw14.7%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from IK Brage's side
IK Brage −2.021.6%
IK Brage −1.7525.5%
IK Brage −1.529.4%
IK Brage −1.2534.5%
IK Brage −1.039.7%
IK Brage −0.7544.8%
IK Brage −0.549.9%
IK Brage −0.2556.3%
IK Brage draw no bet (0.0)62.6%
IK Brage +0.2568.9%
IK Brage +0.575.2%
IK Brage +0.7578.6%
IK Brage +1.082.0%
IK Brage +1.588.8%
IK Brage +2.092.5%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
IK Brage win2.00
Draw3.96
Orebro win4.03
Over 2.51.59
Under 2.52.69

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
IK Brage wins by more than 1 goals29%
Orebro wins by more than 1 goals11%

Probability trajectory · full match

Other matches on 15/08 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.