North American Leagues Cup

Inter Miami CF vs Leon prediction

2 – 3

Full-time

Match summary

Inter Miami CF vs Leon (North American Leagues Cup), 13/08/2026, finished 2-3: Leon won. Before the match Jarvis gave Inter Miami CF 46%, the draw 25% and Leon 29%; the actual result had a 29% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 3.0.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

Inter Miami CF

46%

Draw

25%

Leon

29%

Actual result: Inter Miami CF 2 – 3 Leon · Leon winJarvis gave this outcome: 29%

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Inter Miami CF, negative favours Leon) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Supremacy (Inter Miami CF - Leon)+0.40

Expected total goals3.05

Expected goals Inter Miami CF / Leon1.73 / 1.32

Both teams to score (yes / no)60.9% / 39.1%

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 1.5 goals 81.4%

Over 2.5 goals 58.8%

Over 3.5 goals 36.4%

First half

First-half result (Inter Miami CF / draw / Leon)35.6% / 39.7% / 24.7%

A goal in the first half74.0%

Two or more in the first half40.5%

Half-time then full-time

Inter Miami CF lead at half-time then Inter Miami CF win28.6%

Leon lead at half-time then Leon win16.8%

Level at half-time then Inter Miami CF win15.3%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from Inter Miami CF's side

Inter Miami CF −2.018.0%

Inter Miami CF −1.7521.6%

Inter Miami CF −1.525.1%

Inter Miami CF −1.2530.4%

Inter Miami CF −1.035.7%

Inter Miami CF −0.7541.1%

Inter Miami CF −0.546.4%

Inter Miami CF −0.2552.5%

Inter Miami CF draw no bet (0.0)58.7%

Inter Miami CF +0.2564.9%

Inter Miami CF +0.571.1%

Inter Miami CF +0.7575.1%

Inter Miami CF +1.079.2%

Inter Miami CF +1.587.2%

Inter Miami CF +2.091.4%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)

Inter Miami CF win2.16

Draw4.05

Leon win3.46

Over 2.51.70

Under 2.52.43

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin

Inter Miami CF wins by more than 1 goals25%

Leon wins by more than 1 goals13%

Match summary

Outcome probability

Probability trajectory · full match