Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time

Inter Miami CF
51%

Monterrey
28%
Actual result: Inter Miami CF 1 – 2 Monterrey · Monterrey winJarvis gave this outcome: 28%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Inter Miami CF, negative favours Monterrey) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Inter Miami CF - Monterrey)+0.56
Expected total goals3.57
Expected goals Inter Miami CF / Monterrey2.06 / 1.51
Both teams to score (yes / no)67.8% / 32.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 87.0%
Over 2.5 goals 69.1%
Over 3.5 goals 47.8%
First half
First-half result (Inter Miami CF / draw / Monterrey)39.9% / 34.5% / 25.6%
A goal in the first half80.1%
Two or more in the first half47.5%
Half-time then full-time
Inter Miami CF lead at half-time then Inter Miami CF win32.1%
Monterrey lead at half-time then Monterrey win16.6%
Level at half-time then Inter Miami CF win14.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Inter Miami CF's side
Inter Miami CF −2.022.0%
Inter Miami CF −1.7525.8%
Inter Miami CF −1.529.6%
Inter Miami CF −1.2534.9%
Inter Miami CF −1.040.2%
Inter Miami CF −0.7545.4%
Inter Miami CF −0.550.7%
Inter Miami CF −0.2555.9%
Inter Miami CF draw no bet (0.0)61.2%
Inter Miami CF +0.2566.4%
Inter Miami CF +0.571.7%
Inter Miami CF +0.7575.5%
Inter Miami CF +1.079.4%
Inter Miami CF +1.587.1%
Inter Miami CF +2.091.2%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Inter Miami CF win1.97
Draw4.76
Monterrey win3.53
Over 2.51.45
Under 2.53.24
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Inter Miami CF wins by more than 1 goals30%
Monterrey wins by more than 1 goals13%