Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Internacional
65%
Remo
12%
Actual result: Internacional 1 – 1 Remo · DrawJarvis gave this outcome: 23%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Internacional, negative favours Remo) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Internacional - Remo)+1.19
Expected total goals2.59
Expected goals Internacional / Remo1.89 / 0.70
Both teams to score (yes / no)43.4% / 56.6%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.8%
Over 2.5 goals 48.0%
Over 3.5 goals 26.2%
First half
First-half result (Internacional / draw / Remo)46.3% / 41.2% / 12.5%
A goal in the first half68.3%
Two or more in the first half33.1%
Half-time then full-time
Internacional lead at half-time then Internacional win42.2%
Level at half-time then Internacional win21.1%
Level at half-time then draw14.8%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Internacional's side
Internacional −2.029.7%
Internacional −1.7534.8%
Internacional −1.539.9%
Internacional −1.2546.2%
Internacional −1.052.5%
Internacional −0.7558.8%
Internacional −0.565.1%
Internacional −0.2570.7%
Internacional draw no bet (0.0)76.4%
Internacional +0.2582.0%
Internacional +0.587.6%
Internacional +0.7589.8%
Internacional +1.092.1%
Internacional +1.596.5%
Internacional +2.097.9%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Internacional win1.54
Draw4.44
Remo win8.08
Over 2.52.09
Under 2.51.92
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Internacional wins by more than 1 goals40%
Remo wins by more than 1 goals3%
