FIFA World Cup
Ivory Coast vs Norway prediction
Ivory Coast
1 – 2
Full-time
Norway
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Ivory Coast
25%
Draw
30%
Norway
45%
Actual result: Ivory Coast 1 – 2 Norway · Norway winJarvis gave this outcome: 45% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Ivory Coast, negative favours Norway) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Ivory Coast - Norway)-0.42
Expected total goals2.59
Expected goals Ivory Coast / Norway1.09 / 1.50
Both teams to score (yes / no)53.6% / 46.4%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 75.2%
Over 2.5 goals 47.9%
Over 3.5 goals 26.2%
First half
First-half result (Ivory Coast / draw / Norway)21.0% / 45.9% / 33.1%
A goal in the first half67.0%
Two or more in the first half34.2%
Half-time then full-time
Norway ahead then Norway win27.4%
level then draw19.1%
level then Norway win16.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Quoted from Ivory Coast
Ivory Coast give 2 trái (−2.0)6.8%
Ivory Coast give 1 trái 3/4 (−1.75)8.7%
Ivory Coast give 1 trái rưỡi (−1.5)10.5%
Ivory Coast give 1 trái 1/4 (−1.25)14.2%
Ivory Coast give 1 trái (−1.0)17.9%
Ivory Coast give 3/4 trái (−0.75)21.6%
Ivory Coast give nửa trái (−0.5)25.3%
Ivory Coast give 1/4 trái (−0.25)32.8%
Level ball (0.0)40.3%
Ivory Coast receive 1/4 trái (+0.25)47.8%
Ivory Coast receive nửa trái (+0.5)55.2%
Ivory Coast receive 3/4 trái (+0.75)60.6%
Ivory Coast receive 1 trái (+1.0)65.9%
Ivory Coast receive 1 trái rưỡi (+1.5)76.5%
Ivory Coast receive 2 trái (+2.0)83.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Ivory Coast win3.96
Draw3.34
Norway win2.23
Over 2.52.09
Under 2.51.92
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
1–1
14.4%
0–0
9.6%
1–2
9.2%
0–1
9.2%
0–2
8.5%
2–1
6.7%
Goal margin
Ivory Coast wins by more than 1 goals10%
Norway wins by more than 1 goals23%
Corners
Expected total corners9.4
6.5+ corners in the match47%
Cards
Expected total cards2.4
2.5+ cards in the match44%