Match summary
Jordan vs Algeria (World Cup), 23/06/2026, finished 1-2: Algeria won.
Outcome probability
Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.
Full-time
Jordan
16%
Draw
23%
Algeria
61%
Actual result: Jordan 1 – 2 Algeria · Algeria winJarvis gave this outcome: 61% ✓
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Jordan, negative favours Algeria) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Jordan - Algeria)-0.99
Expected total goals2.50
Expected goals Jordan / Algeria0.75 / 1.75
Both teams to score (yes / no)43.5% / 56.5%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 71.1%
Over 2.5 goals 45.6%
Over 3.5 goals 24.2%
First half
First-half result (Jordan / draw / Algeria)14.9% / 41.5% / 43.6%
A goal in the first half67.7%
Two or more in the first half30.9%
Half-time then full-time
Algeria lead at half-time then Algeria win38.7%
Level at half-time then Algeria win20.0%
Level at half-time then draw15.0%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Jordan's side
Jordan −2.02.7%
Jordan −1.753.6%
Jordan −1.54.5%
Jordan −1.257.3%
Jordan −1.010.2%
Jordan −0.7513.0%
Jordan −0.515.9%
Jordan −0.2521.6%
Jordan draw no bet (0.0)27.3%
Jordan +0.2533.0%
Jordan +0.538.7%
Jordan +0.7545.3%
Jordan +1.051.8%
Jordan +1.564.9%
Jordan +2.074.4%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Jordan win6.29
Draw4.38
Algeria win1.63
Over 2.52.19
Under 2.51.84
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Most likely scorelines
0–1
14.5%
0–2
12.5%
1–1
10.6%
1–2
9.4%
0–0
8.1%
0–3
7.3%
Goal margin
Jordan wins by more than 1 goals4%
Algeria wins by more than 1 goals35%
Probability trajectory · full match
Other matches on 23/06 (GMT+7)
- Argentina vs Austria00:00 · World Cup2–0
- France vs Iraq04:00 · World Cup3–0
- Norway vs Senegal07:00 · World Cup3–2
The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.