UEFA Champions League Qualifiers

KF Drita vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction

2 – 3

Full-time

Match summary

KF Drita vs FK Kauno Zalgiris (Champions League), 15/07/2026, finished 2-3: FK Kauno Zalgiris won. Before the match Jarvis gave KF Drita 39%, the draw 31% and FK Kauno Zalgiris 30%; the actual result had a 30% chance, and the score Jarvis predicted was 2-1. The match had 5 goals; Jarvis expected 2.2.

Outcome probability

Jarvis's PRE-match prediction (not a live probability). Compared with the real result below.

Full-time

KF Drita

39%

Draw

31%

FK Kauno Zalgiris

30%

Actual result: KF Drita 2 – 3 FK Kauno Zalgiris · FK Kauno Zalgiris winJarvis gave this outcome: 30%

Probability trajectory · full match

Jarvis model

Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours KF Drita, negative favours FK Kauno Zalgiris) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.

Tap a row to see how that market has moved.

Supremacy (KF Drita - FK Kauno Zalgiris)+0.16

Expected total goals2.22

Expected goals KF Drita / FK Kauno Zalgiris1.19 / 1.03

Market-standard price (decimal)

KF Drita win2.59

Draw3.24

FK Kauno Zalgiris win3.29

Over 2.52.61

Under 2.51.62

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Over / Under (total goals)

Over 2.5 goals38.3%

Over 1.5 goals66.1%

Over 3.5 goals18.5%

Full Asian handicap (model probability)

Lines shown from KF Drita's side

KF Drita −0.2546.4%

KF Drita draw no bet (0.0)54.1%

KF Drita −0.538.7%

KF Drita +0.2561.8%

KF Drita −0.7533.3%

KF Drita +0.569.6%

KF Drita −1.027.8%

KF Drita +0.7574.2%

KF Drita −1.2522.4%

KF Drita +1.078.8%

KF Drita −1.517.0%

KF Drita −1.7514.2%

KF Drita +1.588.1%

KF Drita −2.011.3%

KF Drita +2.092.3%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Goal margin

KF Drita wins by more than 1 goals17%

FK Kauno Zalgiris wins by more than 1 goals12%

Both teams to score (yes / no)45.8% / 54.2%

First half

First-half result (KF Drita / draw / FK Kauno Zalgiris)28.5% / 47.9% / 23.5%

A goal in the first half62.5%

Two or more in the first half27.1%

Half-time then full-time

KF Drita lead at half-time then KF Drita win22.6%

Level at half-time then draw20.7%

FK Kauno Zalgiris lead at half-time then FK Kauno Zalgiris win17.3%

Other matches on 15/07 (GMT+7)

The three numbers are Jarvis probabilities: home win, draw, away win. Finished matches show the score.