UEFA Conference League

KuPS vs Trabzonspor prediction

23:45, 15/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soon

Outcome probability

Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
KuPS
14%
Draw
22%
Trabzonspor
65%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours KuPS, negative favours Trabzonspor) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (KuPS - Trabzonspor)-1.15
Expected total goals2.61
Expected goals KuPS / Trabzonspor0.73 / 1.88
Both teams to score (yes / no)44.1% / 55.9%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 73.7%
Over 2.5 goals 48.5%
Over 3.5 goals 26.7%
First half
First-half result (KuPS / draw / Trabzonspor)13.5% / 40.4% / 46.1%
A goal in the first half69.0%
Two or more in the first half33.0%
Half-time then full-time
Trabzonspor lead at half-time then Trabzonspor win41.6%
Level at half-time then Trabzonspor win20.6%
Level at half-time then draw14.2%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from KuPS's side
KuPS −2.02.3%
KuPS −1.753.1%
KuPS −1.53.8%
KuPS −1.256.3%
KuPS −1.08.7%
KuPS −0.7511.1%
KuPS −0.513.6%
KuPS −0.2519.1%
KuPS draw no bet (0.0)24.5%
KuPS +0.2530.0%
KuPS +0.535.5%
KuPS +0.7541.8%
KuPS +1.048.2%
KuPS +1.561.0%
KuPS +2.071.0%

Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.

Market-standard price (decimal)
KuPS win7.36
Draw4.57
Trabzonspor win1.55
Over 2.52.06
Under 2.51.94

This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.

Goal margin
KuPS wins by more than 1 goals4%
Trabzonspor wins by more than 1 goals39%

Probability trajectory

KuPS vs Trabzonspor team form

KuPSLLWDD
Last 5 matches
11/10/2026Inter Turku (away)0–1
08/10/2026AC Oulu (home)0–1
19/09/2026VPS (away)2–0
13/09/2026HJK Helsinki (home)0–0
08/09/2026Gnistan (away)1–1
TrabzonsporWLWLW
Last 5 matches
10/10/2026Samsunspor (away)3–0
01/10/2026Drogheda United (home)0–1
19/09/2026Galatasaray (home)4–0
12/09/2026Konyaspor (away)0–1
06/09/2026Genclerbirligi S.K. (home)5–0

Match information

Referee
I. Barbara
Venue
Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Round
1