UEFA Europa League
Torreense vs Sunderland prediction
23:45, 15/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Torreense
12%
Draw
18%
Sunderland
70%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Torreense, negative favours Sunderland) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Torreense - Sunderland)-1.46
Expected total goals3.04
Expected goals Torreense / Sunderland0.79 / 2.25
Both teams to score (yes / no)48.8% / 51.2%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.7%
Over 2.5 goals 58.5%
Over 3.5 goals 36.1%
First half
First-half result (Torreense / draw / Sunderland)12.7% / 35.6% / 51.6%
A goal in the first half74.4%
Two or more in the first half39.7%
Half-time then full-time
Sunderland lead at half-time then Sunderland win47.3%
Level at half-time then Sunderland win20.2%
Level at half-time then draw10.9%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Torreense's side
Torreense −2.02.0%
Torreense −1.752.7%
Torreense −1.53.3%
Torreense −1.255.4%
Torreense −1.07.4%
Torreense −0.759.5%
Torreense −0.511.6%
Torreense −0.2516.1%
Torreense draw no bet (0.0)20.6%
Torreense +0.2525.1%
Torreense +0.529.6%
Torreense +0.7535.5%
Torreense +1.041.4%
Torreense +1.553.2%
Torreense +2.063.7%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Torreense win8.65
Draw5.55
Sunderland win1.42
Over 2.51.71
Under 2.52.41
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Torreense wins by more than 1 goals3%
Sunderland wins by more than 1 goals47%