UEFA Europa League
Lyon vs Crystal Palace prediction
23:45, 15/10
GMT+7
Kicking off soonOutcome probability
Jarvis's pre-match prediction · updates live once the ball is rolling
Offline
Lyon
43%
Draw
27%
Crystal Palace
31%
Jarvis model
Supremacy = expected goal difference (positive favours Lyon, negative favours Crystal Palace) · Expected total goals = projected goals for the whole match · Both teams to score = chance both sides find the net.
Supremacy (Lyon - Crystal Palace)+0.28
Expected total goals2.95
Expected goals Lyon / Crystal Palace1.61 / 1.34
Both teams to score (yes / no)60.3% / 39.7%
Over / Under (total goals)
Over 1.5 goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 goals 56.6%
Over 3.5 goals 34.2%
First half
First-half result (Lyon / draw / Crystal Palace)32.9% / 41.7% / 25.3%
A goal in the first half72.4%
Two or more in the first half39.5%
Half-time then full-time
Lyon lead at half-time then Lyon win26.1%
Crystal Palace lead at half-time then Crystal Palace win18.0%
Level at half-time then draw15.6%
Full Asian handicap (model probability)
Lines shown from Lyon's side
Lyon −2.015.9%
Lyon −1.7519.2%
Lyon −1.522.5%
Lyon −1.2527.6%
Lyon −1.032.6%
Lyon −0.7537.7%
Lyon −0.542.8%
Lyon −0.2549.4%
Lyon draw no bet (0.0)56.1%
Lyon +0.2562.7%
Lyon +0.569.4%
Lyon +0.7573.5%
Lyon +1.077.7%
Lyon +1.586.0%
Lyon +2.090.6%
Quarter lines (0.25, 0.75) split the stake across two lines, so a half-win or half-loss is possible. Whole lines (0, 1, 2) are refunded when the margin lands exactly on the line. These are probabilities from the Jarvis model, not bookmaker prices.
Market-standard price (decimal)
Lyon win2.34
Draw3.77
Crystal Palace win3.26
Over 2.51.77
Under 2.52.31
This is the market-standard price, converted straight from probability (1 divided by the probability). Every Jarvis reading of money flow, probability and prediction runs on it. Each bookmaker posts its own different price, and those numbers can skew the read, so Nhipbong does not use bookmaker prices for analysis.
Goal margin
Lyon wins by more than 1 goals22%
Crystal Palace wins by more than 1 goals14%
Corners
Expected total corners9.6
6.5+ corners in the match49%
Probability trajectory
Lyon vs Crystal Palace injuries and suspensions
Lyon- M. NiakhateOut · Muscle Injury
- M. OuedraogoOut · Knee Injury
- L. OpendaDoubtful · Injury
Crystal Palace- D. HendersonOut · Foot Injury
- J. MatetaOut · Hamstring Injury
- C. RiadOut · Knee Injury
- T. TomiyasuOut · Calf Injury
Lyon and Crystal Palace recent form
LyonLWWDW| 09/10/2026 | @ Lens | 1–2 |
| 19/09/2026 | Rennes | 4–0 |
| 16/09/2026 | @ Anderlecht | 2–1 |
| 12/09/2026 | @ Paris FC | 0–0 |
| 04/09/2026 | Auxerre | 3–1 |
Crystal PalaceWLDWL| 11/10/2026 | Nottingham Forest | 3–1 |
| 03/10/2026 | Bristol City | 0–2 |
| 20/09/2026 | @ Leeds | 0–0 |
| 17/09/2026 | Lech Poznan | 4–0 |
| 12/09/2026 | Ipswich | 2–3 |
Lyon vs Crystal Palace head to head
Last 1 meetings: Lyon won 0, drew 0, lost 1. Goals: 0–2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2023 | Crystal Palace | 2–0 | Lyon |
Match information
- Venue
- Groupama Stadium, Lyon
- Round
- 2